Results for 'bayes theories'

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  1. Two arguments against realism.Timothy Bays - 2008 - Philosophical Quarterly 58 (231):193–213.
    I present two generalizations of Putnam's model-theoretic argument against realism. The first replaces Putnam's model theory with some new, and substantially simpler, model theory, while the second replaces Putnam's model theory with some more accessible results from astronomy. By design, both of these new arguments fail. But the similarities between these new arguments and Putnam's original arguments illuminate the latter's overall structure, and the flaws in these new arguments highlight the corresponding flaws in Putnam's arguments.
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  2.  70
    Skolem's Paradox.Timothy Bays - 2012 - In Peter Adamson (ed.), Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy. Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy.
    Skolem's Paradox involves a seeming conflict between two theorems from classical logic. The Löwenheim Skolem theorem says that if a first order theory has infinite models, then it has models whose domains are only countable. Cantor's theorem says that some sets are uncountable. Skolem's Paradox arises when we notice that the basic principles of Cantorian set theory—i.e., the very principles used to prove Cantor's theorem on the existence of uncountable sets—can themselves be formulated as a collection of first order sentences. (...)
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  3. The Problem with Charlie: Some Remarks on Putnam, Lewis, and Williams.Timothy Bays - 2007 - Philosophical Review 116 (3):401-425.
    In his new paper, “Eligibility and Inscrutability,” J. R. G. Williams presents a surprising new challenge to David Lewis’ theory of interpretation. Although Williams frames this challenge primarily as a response to Lewis’ criticisms of Putnam’s model-theoretic argument, the challenge itself goes to the heart of Lewis’ own account of interpretation. Further, and leaving Lewis’ project aside for a moment, Williams’ argument highlights some important—and some fairly general—points concerning the relationship between model theory and semantic determinacy.
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  4.  35
    Multi-cardinal phenomena in stable theories.Timothy Bays - manuscript
    In this dissertation we study two-cardinal phenomena—both of the admitting cardinals variety and of the Chang’s Conjecture variety—under the assumption that all our models have stable theories. All our results involve two, relatively widely accepted generalizations of the traditional definitions in this area. First, we allow the relevant subsets of our models to be picked out by (perhaps infinitary) partial types; second we consider δ-cardinal problems as well as two-cardinal problems.
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  5.  94
    Reflections on Skolem's Paradox.Timothy Bays - 2000 - Dissertation, University of California, Los Angeles
    The Lowenheim-Skolem theorems say that if a first-order theory has infinite models, then it has models which are only countably infinite. Cantor's theorem says that some sets are uncountable. Together, these theorems induce a puzzle known as Skolem's Paradox: the very axioms of set theory which prove the existence of uncountable sets can be satisfied by a merely countable model. ;This dissertation examines Skolem's Paradox from three perspectives. After a brief introduction, chapters two and three examine several formulations of Skolem's (...)
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  6. Some Two-Cardinal Results for O-Minimal Theories.Timothy Bays - 1998 - Journal of Symbolic Logic 63 (2):543-548.
    We examine two-cardinal problems for the class of O-minimal theories. We prove that an O-minimal theory which admits some must admit every. We also prove that every "reasonable" variant of Chang's Conjecture is true for O-minimal structures. Finally, we generalize these results from the two-cardinal case to the $\delta$-cardinal case for arbitrary ordinals $\delta$.
     
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  7.  35
    Peace and critical political knowledge as human rights.Christian Bay - 1980 - Political Theory 8 (3):293-318.
  8. Beth's theorem and deflationism.Timothy Bays - 2009 - Mind 118 (472):1061-1073.
    In 1999, Jeffrey Ketland published a paper which posed a series of technical problems for deflationary theories of truth. Ketland argued that deflationism is incompatible with standard mathematical formalizations of truth, and he claimed that alternate deflationary formalizations are unable to explain some central uses of the truth predicate in mathematics. He also used Beth’s definability theorem to argue that, contrary to deflationists’ claims, the T-schema cannot provide an ‘implicit definition’ of truth. In this article, I want to challenge (...)
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  9. Some two-cardinal results for o-minimal theories.Timothy Bays - 1998 - Journal of Symbolic Logic 63 (2):543-548.
    We examine two-cardinal problems for the class of O-minimal theories. We prove that an O-minimal theory which admits some (κ, λ) must admit every (κ , λ ). We also prove that every “reasonable” variant of Chang’s Conjecture is true for O-minimal structures. Finally, we generalize these results from the two-cardinal case to the δ-cardinal case for arbitrary ordinals δ.
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  10. Partitioning Subsets of Stable Models.Timothy Bays - 2001 - Journal of Symbolic Logic 66 (4):1899-1908.
    This paper discusses two combinatorial problems in stability theory. First we prove a partition result for subsets of stable models: for any A and B, we can partition A into |B|$^{ |B|, then we try to find A' $\subset$ A and B' $\subset$ B such that |A'| is as large as possible, |B'| is as small as possible, and A' $\&2ADD;$ $\underset{B'}$ B. We prove some positive results in this direction, and we discuss the optimality of these results under ZFC (...)
     
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  11.  11
    Rights: An Exchange. I. Peace and Critical Political Knowledge as Human Rights.Christian Bay - 1980 - Political Theory 8 (3):293-318.
  12.  12
    Foundations of the liberal make-believe.Christian Bay - 1971 - Inquiry: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Philosophy 14 (1-4):213 – 237.
    Among three possible avenues toward a good society ? revolutionary Marxism, liberal?democratic reform, and radical citizenship education ? this paper examines and advocates the third. Societies are held to be ?good? so long as the Most Basic Rights are in fact enjoyed by all (i.e. the right (1) to stay alive, (2) to remain unmolested, and (3) to be free to develop one's potentialities). Some key propositions in ?contract theory? as represented by such diverse theorists as Socrates, Hobbes, Locke, Rousseau, (...)
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  13.  43
    Partitioning subsets of stable models.Timothy Bays - 2001 - Journal of Symbolic Logic 66 (4):1899-1908.
    This paper discusses two combinatorial problems in stability theory. First we prove a partition result for subsets of stable models: for any A and B, we can partition A into |B |<κ(T ) pieces, Ai | i < |B |<κ(T ) , such that for each Ai there is a Bi ⊆ B where |Bi| < κ(T ) and Ai..
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  14.  16
    Books in Review.Christian Bay - 1987 - Political Theory 15 (3):439-443.
  15.  25
    On needs and rights beyond liberalism: A rejoinder to Flathman.Christian Bay - 1980 - Political Theory 8 (3):331-334.
  16.  20
    Review of Michael Potter, Set Theory and its Philosophy: A Critical Introduction[REVIEW]Timothy Bays - 2005 - Notre Dame Philosophical Reviews 2005 (3).
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  17.  5
    Theory of neural coding predicts an upper bound on estimates of memory variability.Robert Taylor & Paul M. Bays - 2020 - Psychological Review 127 (5):700-718.
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  18.  24
    Book Review: Neal M. Ashkanasy, Charmine E.J. Härtel, and Wilfred J. Zerbe. 2000. Emotions in the Workplace: Research, Theory, and Practice. Westport, CT: Quorum. 328 pages, $75.00. [REVIEW]Darlene Bay - 2003 - Business and Society 42 (1):153-160.
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  19.  10
    Books in Review. [REVIEW]Christian Bay - 1983 - Political Theory 11 (1):140-143.
  20.  73
    Does midwifery-led care demonstrate care ethics: A template analysis.Kate Buchanan, Elizabeth Newnham, Deborah Ireson, Clare Davison & Sara Bayes - 2022 - Nursing Ethics 29 (1):245-257.
    Background: Ethical care in maternity is fundamental to providing care that both prevents harm and does good, and yet, there is growing acknowledgement that disrespect and abuse routinely occur in this context, which indicates that current ethical frameworks are not adequate. Care ethics offers an alternative to the traditional biomedical ethical principles. Research aim: The aim of the study was to determine whether a correlation exists between midwifery-led care and care ethics as an important first step in an action research (...)
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  21.  20
    Oncologists’ perspective on advance directives, a French national prospective cross-sectional survey – the ADORE study.Amélie Cambriel, Kevin Serey, Adrien Pollina-Bachellerie, Mathilde Cancel, Morgan Michalet, Jacques-Olivier Bay, Carole Bouleuc, Jean-Pierre Lotz & Francois Philippart - 2024 - BMC Medical Ethics 25 (1):1-10.
    Background The often poor prognosis associated with cancer necessitates empowering patients to express their care preferences. Yet, the prevalence of Advance Directives (AD) among oncology patients remains low. This study investigated oncologists' perspectives on the interests and challenges associated with implementing AD. Methods A French national online survey targeting hospital-based oncologists explored five areas: AD information, writing support, AD usage, personal perceptions of AD's importance, and respondent's profile. The primary outcome was to assess how frequently oncologists provide patients with information (...)
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  22.  58
    Bayes or Bust?: A Critical Examination of Bayesian Confirmation Theory.John Earman - 1992 - Bradford.
    There is currently no viable alternative to the Bayesian analysis of scientific inference, yet the available versions of Bayesianism fail to do justice to several aspects of the testing and confirmation of scientific hypotheses. Bayes or Bust? provides the first balanced treatment of the complex set of issues involved in this nagging conundrum in the philosophy of science. Both Bayesians and anti-Bayesians will find a wealth of new insights on topics ranging from Bayes's original paper to contemporary formal (...)
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  23. Bayes or Bust?: A Critical Examination of Bayesian Confirmation Theory.John Earman - 1992 - MIT Press.
    There is currently no viable alternative to the Bayesian analysis of scientific inference, yet the available versions of Bayesianism fail to do justice to several aspects of the testing and confirmation of scientific hypotheses. Bayes or Bust? provides the first balanced treatment of the complex set of issues involved in this nagging conundrum in the philosophy of science. Both Bayesians and anti-Bayesians will find a wealth of new insights on topics ranging from Bayes’s original paper to contemporary formal (...)
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  24. A Theory of Causal Learning in Children: Causal Maps and Bayes Nets.Alison Gopnik, Clark Glymour, Laura Schulz, Tamar Kushnir & David Danks - 2004 - Psychological Review 111 (1):3-32.
    We propose that children employ specialized cognitive systems that allow them to recover an accurate “causal map” of the world: an abstract, coherent, learned representation of the causal relations among events. This kind of knowledge can be perspicuously understood in terms of the formalism of directed graphical causal models, or “Bayes nets”. Children’s causal learning and inference may involve computations similar to those for learning causal Bayes nets and for predicting with them. Experimental results suggest that 2- to (...)
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  25.  77
    Causal Bayes nets as psychological theories of causal reasoning: evidence from psychological research.York Hagmayer - 2016 - Synthese 193 (4):1107-1126.
    Causal Bayes nets have been developed in philosophy, statistics, and computer sciences to provide a formalism to represent causal structures, to induce causal structure from data and to derive predictions. Causal Bayes nets have been used as psychological theories in at least two ways. They were used as rational, computational models of causal reasoning and they were used as formal models of mental causal models. A crucial assumption made by them is the Markov condition, which informally states (...)
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  26. Assessing theories, Bayes style.Franz Huber - 2008 - Synthese 161 (1):89-118.
    The problem addressed in this paper is “the main epistemic problem concerning science”, viz. “the explication of how we compare and evaluate theories [...] in the light of the available evidence” (van Fraassen, BC, 1983, Theory comparison and relevant Evidence. In J. Earman (Ed.), Testing scientific theories (pp. 27–42). Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press). Sections 1– 3 contain the general plausibility-informativeness theory of theory assessment. In a nutshell, the message is (1) that there are two values a theory (...)
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  27.  16
    Bayes or Bust? A Critical Examination of Bayesian Confirmation Theory.Paul Castell - 1995 - Philosophical Quarterly 45 (180):377-379.
  28. Being Realist about Bayes, and the Predictive Processing Theory of Mind.Matteo Colombo, Lee Elkin & Stephan Hartmann - 2021 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 72 (1):185-220.
    Some naturalistic philosophers of mind subscribing to the predictive processing theory of mind have adopted a realist attitude towards the results of Bayesian cognitive science. In this paper, we argue that this realist attitude is unwarranted. The Bayesian research program in cognitive science does not possess special epistemic virtues over alternative approaches for explaining mental phenomena involving uncertainty. In particular, the Bayesian approach is not simpler, more unifying, or more rational than alternatives. It is also contentious that the Bayesian approach (...)
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  29.  35
    Causal maps and Bayes nets: A cognitive and computational account of theory-formation.Alison Gopnik & Clark Glymour - 2002 - In Peter Carruthers, Stephen Stich & Michael Siegal (eds.), The Cognitive Basis of Science. New York: Cambridge University Press. pp. 117--132.
  30.  18
    Bayes or Bust? A Critical Examination of Bayesian Confirmation Theory.L. J. Cohen - 1994 - Philosophical Books 35 (1):45-47.
  31.  9
    Bayes or Bust? A Critical Examination of Bayesian Confirmation Theory. John Earman.Peter Urbach - 1993 - Isis 84 (3):621-621.
  32.  56
    The Appraisal of Theories: Kuhn Meets Bayes.Wesley C. Salmon - 1990 - PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1990:325 - 332.
    This paper claims that adoption of Bayes's theorem as the schema for the appraisal of scientific theories can greatly reduce the distance between Kuhnians and logical empiricists. It is argued that plausibility considerations, which Kuhn considered outside of the logic of science, can be construed as prior probabilities, which play an indispensable role in the logic of science. Problems concerning likelihoods, especially the likelihood on the "catchall," are also considered. Severe difficulties concerning the significance of this probability arise (...)
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  33.  32
    Bayes or Bust?: A Critical Examination of Bayesian Confirmation Theory. [REVIEW]Alan Hajek & Brian Skyrms - 2000 - Philosophical and Phenomenological Research 60 (3):707-711.
  34.  23
    The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes’ Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy.Stanley Shostak - 2013 - The European Legacy 18 (7):965-966.
  35.  15
    Hypothesis testing and theory evaluation at the boundaries: Surprising insights from Bayes's theorem.David Trafimow - 2003 - Psychological Review 110 (3):526-535.
  36.  4
    The Appraisal of Theories: Kuhn Meets Bayes.Wesley C. Salmon - 1990 - PSA Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1990 (2):324-332.
    Can statistical inference shed any worthwhile light on theory change? For many years I have believed that the answer is “Yes.” Let me try to explain why I think so. On my first reading of Thomas S. Kuhn’s The Structure of Scientific Revolutions (1962) I was so deeply shocked at his repudiation of the distinction between the context of discovery and the context of justification that I put the book down without finishing it. By 1969, when a conference was held (...)
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  37.  57
    Constancy, categories and bayes: A new approach to representational theories of color constancy.Peter Bradley - 2008 - Philosophical Psychology 21 (5):601 – 627.
    Philosophers have long sought to explain perceptual constancy—the fact that objects appear to remain the same color, size and shape despite changes in the illumination condition, perspective and the relative distance—in terms of a mechanism that actively categorizes variable stimuli under the same pre-formed conceptual categories. Contemporary representationalists, on the other hand, explain perceptual constancy in terms of a modular mechanism that automatically discounts variation in the visual field to represent the stable properties of objects. In this paper I argue (...)
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  38. Bayes and health care research.Peter Allmark - 2004 - Medicine, Health Care and Philosophy 7 (3):321-332.
    Bayes’ rule shows how one might rationally change one’s beliefs in the light of evidence. It is the foundation of a statistical method called Bayesianism. In health care research, Bayesianism has its advocates but the dominant statistical method is frequentism. There are at least two important philosophical differences between these methods. First, Bayesianism takes a subjectivist view of probability (i.e. that probability scores are statements of subjective belief, not objective fact) whilst frequentism takes an objectivist view. Second, Bayesianism is (...)
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  39.  13
    Bayes or Bust? A Critical Examination of Bayesian Confirmation Theory by John Earman. [REVIEW]Peter Urbach - 1993 - Isis 84:621-621.
  40.  59
    Bayes or Bust? A Critical Examination of Bayesian Confirmation Theory. John Earman. [REVIEW]John Worrall - 1994 - Philosophy of Science 61 (4):672-673.
  41. Bayes' theorem.James Joyce - 2008 - Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy.
    Bayes' Theorem is a simple mathematical formula used for calculating conditional probabilities. It figures prominently in subjectivist or Bayesian approaches to epistemology, statistics, and inductive logic. Subjectivists, who maintain that rational belief is governed by the laws of probability, lean heavily on conditional probabilities in their theories of evidence and their models of empirical learning. Bayes' Theorem is central to these enterprises both because it simplifies the calculation of conditional probabilities and because it clarifies significant features of (...)
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  42.  95
    Can Bayes' Rule be Justified by Cognitive Rationality Principles?Bernard Walliser & Denis Zwirn - 2002 - Theory and Decision 53 (2):95-135.
    The justification of Bayes' rule by cognitive rationality principles is undertaken by extending the propositional axiom systems usually proposed in two contexts of belief change: revising and updating. Probabilistic belief change axioms are introduced, either by direct transcription of the set-theoretic ones, or in a stronger way but nevertheless in the spirit of the underlying propositional principles. Weak revising axioms are shown to be satisfied by a General Conditioning rule, extending Bayes' rule but also compatible with others, and (...)
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  43. John Earman's 'bayes or bust? A critical examination of bayesian confirmation theory' (book review). [REVIEW]David Christensen - 1994 - Philosophical Review 103 (2):345-347.
  44.  10
    Can Bayes' Rule be Justified by Cognitive Rationality Principles?Walliser Bernard & Zwirn Denis - 2002 - Theory and Decision 53 (2):95-135.
    The justification of Bayes' rule by cognitive rationality principles is undertaken by extending the propositional axiom systems usually proposed in two contexts of belief change: revising and updating. Probabilistic belief change axioms are introduced, either by direct transcription of the set-theoretic ones, or in a stronger way but nevertheless in the spirit of the underlying propositional principles. Weak revising axioms are shown to be satisfied by a General Conditioning rule, extending Bayes' rule but also compatible with others, and (...)
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  45.  60
    Causal Bayes nets and token-causation: Closing the gap between token-level and type-level.Alexander Gebharter & Andreas Hüttemann - forthcoming - Erkenntnis:1-23.
    Causal Bayes nets (CBNs) provide one of the most powerful tools for modelling coarse-grained type-level causal structure. As in other fields (e.g., thermodynamics) the question arises how such coarse-grained characterisations are related to the characterisation of their underlying structure (in this case: token-level causal relations). Answering this question meets what is called a “coherence-requirement” in the reduction debate: How are different accounts of one and the same system (or kind of system) related to each other. We argue that CBNs (...)
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  46.  5
    Book Reviews : John Earman, Bayes or Bust? A Critical Examination of Bayesian Confirmation Theory. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 1992. Pp. xvi, 272. $35.00 (cloth. [REVIEW]Harold I. Brown - 1994 - Philosophy of the Social Sciences 24 (3):383-385.
  47.  90
    Bayes and beyond.Geoffrey Hellman - 1997 - Philosophy of Science 64 (2):191-221.
    Several leading topics outstanding after John Earman's Bayes or Bust? are investigated further, with emphasis on the relevance of Bayesian explication in epistemology of science, despite certain limitations. (1) Dutch Book arguments are reformulated so that their independence from utility and preference in epistemic contexts is evident. (2) The Bayesian analysis of the Quine-Duhem problem is pursued; the phenomenon of a "protective belt" of auxiliary statements around reasonably successful theories is explicated. (3) The Bayesian approach to understanding the (...)
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  48. Bayes Not Bust! Why Simplicity Is No Problem for Bayesians.David L. Dowe, Steve Gardner & and Graham Oppy - 2007 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 58 (4):709 - 754.
    The advent of formal definitions of the simplicity of a theory has important implications for model selection. But what is the best way to define simplicity? Forster and Sober ([1994]) advocate the use of Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC), a non-Bayesian formalisation of the notion of simplicity. This forms an important part of their wider attack on Bayesianism in the philosophy of science. We defend a Bayesian alternative: the simplicity of a theory is to be characterised in terms of Wallace's Minimum (...)
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  49. Causal Exclusion and Causal Bayes Nets.Alexander Gebharter - 2017 - Philosophy and Phenomenological Research 95 (2):353-375.
    In this paper I reconstruct and evaluate the validity of two versions of causal exclusion arguments within the theory of causal Bayes nets. I argue that supervenience relations formally behave like causal relations. If this is correct, then it turns out that both versions of the exclusion argument are valid when assuming the causal Markov condition and the causal minimality condition. I also investigate some consequences for the recent discussion of causal exclusion arguments in the light of an interventionist (...)
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  50. Nature, Science, Bayes 'Theorem, and the Whole of Reality‖.Moorad Alexanian - manuscript
    A fundamental problem in science is how to make logical inferences from scientific data. Mere data does not suffice since additional information is necessary to select a domain of models or hypotheses and thus determine the likelihood of each model or hypothesis. Thomas Bayes’ Theorem relates the data and prior information to posterior probabilities associated with differing models or hypotheses and thus is useful in identifying the roles played by the known data and the assumed prior information when making (...)
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