Philosophy of Science 84 (3):500–522 (2017)
Authors |
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Abstract |
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has developed a novel framework for assessing and communicating uncertainty in the findings published in their periodic assessment reports. But how should these uncertainty assessments inform decisions? We take a formal decision-making perspective to investigate how scientific input formulated in the IPCC’s novel framework might inform decisions in a principled way through a normative decision model.
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Keywords | Climate Change Decision Making Confidence IPCC |
Categories | (categorize this paper) |
Reprint years | 2017 |
DOI | 10.1086/692145 |
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References found in this work BETA
The Logic of Scientific Discovery.K. Popper - 1959 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 10 (37):55-57.
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Citations of this work BETA
Tough Enough? Robust Satisficing as a Decision Norm for Long-Term Policy Analysis.Andreas L. Mogensen & David Thorstad - 2022 - Synthese 200 (1):1-26.
Combining Probability with Qualitative Degree-of-Certainty Metrics in Assessment.Casey Helgeson, Richard Bradley & Brian Hill - 2018 - Climatic Change 149:517-525.
Conceptualizing Uncertainty: The IPCC, Model Robustness and the Weight of Evidence.Margherita Harris - 2021 - Dissertation, London School of Economics
Robustness, Evidence, and Uncertainty: An Exploration of Policy Applications of Robustness Analysis.Nicolas Wüthrich - unknown
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2016-01-28
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