Perspectives on Science 29 (1):36-61 (2021)

Authors
Rafaela Hillerbrand
Universität Karlsruhe
Michael Poznic
Universität Karlsruhe
Abstract
Climatologists have recently introduced a distinction between projections as scenario-based model results on the one hand and predictions on the other hand. The interpretation and usage of both terms is, however, not univocal. It is stated that the ambiguities of the interpretations may cause problems in the communication of climate science within the scientific community and to the public realm. This paper suggests an account of scenarios as props in games of make-belive. With this account, we explain the difference between projections that should be make-believed and other model results that should be believed.
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DOI 10.1162/posc_a_00360
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References found in this work BETA

Models and Fiction.Roman Frigg - 2010 - Synthese 172 (2):251-268.
Mimesis as Make-Believe: On the Foundations of the Representational Arts.Kendall L. Walton - 1990 - Journal of Aesthetics and Art Criticism 49 (2):161-166.

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