Disappointment Aversion in internet Bidding-Decisions

Theory and Decision 64 (2-3):363-393 (2008)
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Abstract

The article presents an Internet experiment where subjects sequentially bid for basic gifts and binary-lotteries on these gifts in incentive compatible Vickrey auctions. Subjects exhibit uniformly pessimistic prize-weighting in spite of precautions to reduce suspicion and prohibit collusion. The bids for lotteries are close to the minimal payable value, even when the probability of obtaining a better prize is larger than 50%. Prize-weighting becomes even more conservative as the distance in value of payable prizes increases. The twofold aversive affect appears for three distinct groups of students; we demonstrate, however, that the same subjects overweight small win-probabilities in standard binary-choice

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Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk.D. Kahneman & A. Tversky - 1979 - Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society:263--291.
Regret in decision making under uncertainty.David E. Bell - 1982 - Operations Research 30 (5):961–81.

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