Only CDT values knowledge

Analysis 84 (1):67-82 (2023)
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Abstract

Causal decision theory is often motivated as a ‘revision of [decision theory] intended to solve Newcomb’s problem’ (Bacon 2022). In this paper, I give a direct argument for CDT by deriving it from a venerable decision-theoretic principle: the value of knowledge principle. The general framework that I use to deliver this result also supports a new argument for conditionalization.

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Michael Nielsen
University of Sydney

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