Does a green leaf confirm that all ravens are Black? Brief reflections on a paradox of confirmation 1: Miles does a green leaf confirm that all ravens are Black?

Think 13 (36):89-92 (2014)
  Copy   BIBTEX

Abstract

The paradox is that a natural idea of what counts as confirmation implies that a green leaf confirms the hypothesis that all ravens are black. The following brief paper explains this paradox, proposes a resolution in terms of relative frequency, and suggests that this shows a link between confirmation and falsification.

Categories

Keywords

Reprint years

DOI

10.1017/s1477175613000353

Links

PhilArchive



    Upload a copy of this work     Papers currently archived: 91,628

External links

Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server

Through your library

My notes

Similar books and articles

A New Bayesian Solution to the Paradox of the Ravens.Susanna Rinard - 2014 - Philosophy of Science 81 (1):81-100.
Regarding the Raven Paradox.Robert J. Levy - 1988 - PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1988:17 - 23.
Does the Bayesian solution to the paradox of confirmation really support Bayesianism?Brian Laetz - 2011 - European Journal for Philosophy of Science 1 (1):39-46.
Confirming Inexact Generalizations.Ernest W. Adams - 1988 - PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1988:10 - 16.
Der Rabe und der Bayesianist.Mark Siebel - 2004 - Journal for General Philosophy of Science / Zeitschrift für Allgemeine Wissenschaftstheorie 35 (2):313-329.
An Even Better Solution to the Paradox of the Ravens.James Hawthorne & Branden Fitelson - manuscript
Why Bayesians Needn’t Be Afraid of Observing Many Non-black Non-ravens.Florian F. Schiller - 2012 - Journal for General Philosophy of Science / Zeitschrift für Allgemeine Wissenschaftstheorie 43 (1):77-88.
The Raven Paradox.John-Michael Kuczynski - 2016 - Amazon Digital Services LLC.
Qualitative confirmation and the ravens paradox.Patrick Maher - 2005 - Poznan Studies in the Philosophy of the Sciences and the Humanities 83 (1):89-108.
What the ravens really teach us : the intrinsic contextuality of evidence.Hasok Chang & Grant Fisher - 2011 - In Philip Dawid, William Twining & Mimi Vasilaki (eds.), Evidence, Inference and Enquiry. Oup/British Academy.
Absolute probability in small worlds: A new paradox in probability theory.Norman Swartz - 1973 - Philosophia 3 (2-3):167-178.
A Neglected Response to the Paradoxes of Confirmation.Murali Ramachandran - 2017 - South African Journal of Philosophy 36 (2):179-85.
How Bayesian Confirmation Theory Handles the Paradox of the Ravens.Branden Fitelson & James Hawthorne - 2010 - In Ellery Eells & James Fetzer (eds.), The Place of Probability in Science. Springer. pp. 247--275.
Non-bayesian foundations for statistical estimation, prediction, and the ravens example.Malcolm R. Forster - 1994 - Erkenntnis 40 (3):357 - 376.
On the equivalence of Goodman’s and Hempel’s paradoxes.Kenneth Boyce - 2014 - Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A 45:32-42.

Analytics

Added to PP
2013-12-18

Downloads
65 (#248,396)

6 months
11 (#232,073)

Historical graph of downloads
How can I increase my downloads?

Citations of this work

No citations found.

Add more citations

References found in this work

No references found.

Add more references