Sleeping beauty and the dynamics of de se beliefs

Philosophical Studies 138 (2):245-269 (2008)
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Abstract

This paper examines three accounts of the sleeping beauty case: an account proposed by Adam Elga, an account proposed by David Lewis, and a third account defended in this paper. It provides two reasons for preferring the third account. First, this account does a good job of capturing the temporal continuity of our beliefs, while the accounts favored by Elga and Lewis do not. Second, Elga’s and Lewis’ treatments of the sleeping beauty case lead to highly counterintuitive consequences. The proposed account also leads to counterintuitive consequences, but they’re not as bad as those of Elga’s account, and no worse than those of Lewis’ account.

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Christopher J. G. Meacham
University of Massachusetts, Amherst

Citations of this work

Time-Slice Rationality.Brian Hedden - 2015 - Mind 124 (494):449-491.
An Accuracy Based Approach to Higher Order Evidence.Miriam Schoenfield - 2018 - Philosophy and Phenomenological Research 96 (3):690-715.
The Myth of the De Se.Ofra Magidor - 2015 - Philosophical Perspectives 29 (1):249-283.
Interpretations of probability.Alan Hájek - 2007 - Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy.

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