Bayesian Convergence to the Truth and the Metaphysics of Possible Worlds

Philosophy of Science 82 (4):587-601 (2015)
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Abstract

In a recent paper, Belot argues that Bayesians are epistemologically flawed because they believe with probability 1 that they will learn the truth about observational propositions in the limit. While Belot’s considerations suggest that this result should be interpreted with some care, the concerns he raises can largely be defused by putting convergence to the truth in the context of learning from an arbitrarily large but finite number of observations

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Simon Huttegger
University of California, Irvine

References found in this work

Bayesian Orgulity.Gordon Belot - 2013 - Philosophy of Science 80 (4):483-503.
Bayesian humility.Adam Elga - 2016 - Philosophy of Science 83 (3):305-323.
Logical Atoms and Combinatorial Possibility.Brian Skyrms - 1993 - Journal of Philosophy 90 (5):219-232.
It all adds up: The dynamic coherence of radical probabilism.S. L. Zabell - 2002 - Proceedings of the Philosophy of Science Association 2002 (3):S98-S103.

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