Results for 'Milliward Maliyoni'

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    Probability of Disease Extinction or Outbreak in a Stochastic Epidemic Model for West Nile Virus Dynamics in Birds.Milliward Maliyoni - 2020 - Acta Biotheoretica 69 (2):91-116.
    Thresholds for disease extinction provide essential information for the prevention and control of diseases. In this paper, a stochastic epidemic model, a continuous-time Markov chain, for the transmission dynamics of West Nile virus in birds is developed based on the assumptions of its analogous deterministic model. The branching process is applied to derive the extinction threshold for the stochastic model and conditions for disease extinction or persistence. The probability of disease extinction computed from the branching process is shown to be (...)
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