The gambler's fallacy, the therapeutic misconception, and unrealistic optimism

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IRB: Ethics & Human Research 35 (2):1-6 (2013)
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Abstract

The Therapeutic Misconception (TM) is a cognitive error with similarities to another cognitive error -- the Gambler's Fallacy (GF). This paper examines the similarities between TM and GF in an attempt to further illuminate the nature of TM, and to distinguish it from another cognitive error, Unrealistic Optimism (UO). Many cases of UO and mis-classified as TM.

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Deborah Barnbaum
Kent State University

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