The Sooner the Better: An Argument for Bias Toward the Earlier

Journal of the American Philosophical Association 10 (2):371-386 (2024)
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Abstract

In this article I argue that we should be prudentially and morally biased toward earlier events: other things equal, we should prefer for good events to occur earlier and disprefer for bad events to occur earlier. The argument contends that we should accord at least some credence—if only a small one—to a theoretical package featuring the growing block theory of time and that this package generates a presumptive bias toward earlier events. Rival theoretical packages are considered. Under reasonable allocations of credence to them, the presumptive bias escapes defeat. The argument has several corollaries: other things equal, we should be biased toward the past over the future, the further past over the nearer past, and the nearer future over the further future.

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Bradford Saad
University of Oxford

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References found in this work

The Foundations of Statistics.Leonard J. Savage - 1954 - Synthese 11 (1):86-89.
Time and Chance.David Z. Albert - 2000 - Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press.
Nothing to Come: A Defence of the Growing Block Theory of Time.Fabrice Correia & Sven Rosenkranz - 2018 - Cham, Switzerland: Springer Verlag. Edited by Sven Rosenkranz.
Mortal Questions.Thomas Nagel - 1983 - Religious Studies 19 (1):96-99.

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