A Statistical Explanation of the Dunning–Kruger Effect
Frontiers in Psychology 13 (2022)
Abstract
An explanation of the Dunning–Kruger effect is provided which does not require any psychological explanation, because it is derived as a statistical artifact. This is achieved by specifying a simple statistical model which explicitly takes the boundary constraints into account. The model fits the data almost perfectly.JEL ClassificationA22; C24; C91; D84; D91; I21.Links
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References found in this work
Dunning-Kruger Effect: Intuitive Errors Predict Overconfidence on the Cognitive Reflection Test.Mariana V. C. Coutinho, Justin Thomas, Alia S. M. Alsuwaidi & Justin J. Couchman - 2021 - Frontiers in Psychology 12.
Grade Expectations: Rationality and Overconfidence.Jan R. Magnus & Anatoly A. Peresetsky - 2018 - Frontiers in Psychology 8.
