Dynamic overconfidence: a growth curve and cross lagged analysis of accuracy, confidence, overestimation and their relations

, , , &
Thinking and Reasoning 27 (3):417-444 (2021)
  Copy   BIBTEX

Abstract

1. Overconfidence is usually understood as being more confident than reality justifies (Harvey, 1997; Moore & Healy, 2008; Pompian, 2006), which leads individuals to overestimate their performance...

Categories

Keywords

Reprint years

DOI

10.1080/13546783.2020.1837241

Links

PhilArchive



    Upload a copy of this work     Papers currently archived: 93,642

External links

Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server

Through your library

My notes

Similar books and articles

Speaker trustworthiness: Shall confidence match evidence?Mélinda Pozzi & Diana Mazzarella - 2024 - Philosophical Psychology 37 (1):102-125.
Beliefs about overconfidence.Sandra Ludwig & Julia Nafziger - 2011 - Theory and Decision 70 (4):475-500.
The influence of decision heuristics and overconfidence on multiattribute choice: A process-tracing study.Marcus Selart, Bård Kuvaas, Ole Boe & Kazuhisa Takemura - 2006 - European Journal of Cognitive Psychology 18 (3):437-453.
Economists as experts: Overconfidence in theory and practice.Erik Angner - 2006 - Journal of Economic Methodology 13 (1):1-24.
Overconfidence in tournaments: evidence from the field. [REVIEW]Young Joon Park & Luís Santos-Pinto - 2010 - Theory and Decision 69 (1):143-166.
Effect of Overconfidence on Product Diffusion in Online Social Networks: A Multiagent Simulation Based on Evolutionary Game and Overconfidence Theory.Xiaochao Wei, Qi Liao, Yanfei Zhang & Guihua Nie - 2022 - Complexity 2022:1-22.
Metacognitive judgment and denial of deficit: Evidence from frontotemporal dementia.Sandra E. Black - unknown
Improving metacognitive accuracy: How failing to retrieve practice items reduces overconfidence.Tyler M. Miller & Lisa Geraci - 2014 - Consciousness and Cognition 29:131-140.
Respondents in Asian Cultures are More Risk-Seeking and More Overconfident than Respondents in Other Cultures but the Reciprocal Predictions are in Total Opposition: How and Why?Shu Li & Yongqing Fang - 2004 - Journal of Cognition and Culture 4 (2):263-292.
Feeling happy and (over)confident: the role of positive affect in metacognitive processes.Yael Sidi, Rakefet Ackerman & Amir Erez - 2017 - Cognition and Emotion 32 (4):876-884.

Analytics

Added to PP
2020-11-07

Downloads
13 (#288,494)

6 months
20 (#753,917)

Historical graph of downloads
How can I increase my downloads?

Author's Profile

Arturo Rodriguez
Teachers College

Citations of this work

No citations found.

Add more citations

References found in this work

The trouble with overconfidence.Don A. Moore & Paul J. Healy - 2008 - Psychological Review 115 (2):502-517.
Insight and strategy in multiple-cue learning.David R. Shanks - 2006 - Journal of Experimental Psychology: General 135 (2):162-183.

View all 7 references / Add more references