On not being gulled by ravens

Australasian Journal of Philosophy 38 (1):48 – 50 (1960)
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Hempel's Raven paradox: A lacuna in the standard bayesian solution.Peter B. M. Vranas - 2004 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 55 (3):545-560.
The context of prediction (and the paradox of confirmation).Tony Lawson - 1985 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 36 (4):393-407.

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