Remarks on Probability and “Intelligent Design”

Abstract

There are various non-contrastive questions that one can ask about a single hypothesis H and a body of evidence E: What is the probability of H, given E [Pr(H | E)]? What is the likelihood of H on E [Pr(E | H)]? Does E support/counter-support H? Should we accept/reject H in light of E? There are also contrastive questions concerning pairs of alternative hypotheses H1 vs H2 and a body of evidence E: Is H1 more probable than H2, given E? Is the likelihood of H1 greater than that of H2 on E? Does E favor H1 over H2 (or vice versa)?

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Branden Fitelson
Northeastern University

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Warrant and proper function.Alvin Plantinga - 1993 - New York: Oxford University Press.
Natural theology.William Paley - 1802 - In Elizabeth Schmidt Radcliffe, Richard McCarty, Fritz Allhoff & Anand Vaidya (eds.), Late Modern Philosophy: Essential Readings with Commentary. Blackwell.
Climbing Mount Improbable.Richard Dawkins - 1999 - Environmental Values 8 (1):114-116.

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