Does the No Alternatives Argument Need Gerrymandering to Be Signifi cant?

British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 717081:ja (forthcoming)
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Abstract

In a recent paper, Tushar Menon has argued that the no-alternatives argument can only be signifi cant if the priors for numbers of alternatives are tuned in an implausible way (gerrymandered, as he calls it). In this paper, I demonstrate that priors needed for making a no-alternatives argument signi ficant are in line with what can be plausibly assumed in a successful research fi eld.

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Richard Dawid
Stockholm University

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