Stochastic Modeling of Extinction in Plant Populations

In P. L. Fiedler & S. K. Jain (eds.), Conservation Biology. Springer Us. pp. 253-275 (1992)
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Abstract

Population viability analyses have developed concepts relating largely to genetic threats, although environmental and demographic factors may be of greater immediate concern. Using twenty-eight published empirically derived projection matrices of various perennial herbs and trees, I model the behavior of plant populations by introducing temporal variation in demographic parameters into matrix projections of stage-structured populations. Stochastic modeling of population behavior allows estimation of extinction probabilities and minimum viable population.

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