Symptomatic acts and the value of evidence in causal decision theory

Philosophy of Science 57 (3):479-498 (1990)
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Abstract

A "symptomatic act" is an act that is evidence for a state that it has no tendency to cause. In this paper I show that when the evidential value of a symptomatic act might influence subsequent choices, causal decision theory may initially recommend against its own use for those subsequent choices. And if one knows that one will nevertheless use causal decision theory to make those subsequent choices, causal decision theory may favor the one-box solution in Newcomb's problem, and may recommend against making cost-free observations. But if one can control one's future choices, then causal decision theory never recommends against cost-free observation

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Citations of this work

Rational Aversion to Information.Sven Neth - forthcoming - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science.
Diachronic rationality.Patrick Maher - 1992 - Philosophy of Science 59 (1):120-141.
The structure of radical probabilism.Brian Skyrms - 1996 - Erkenntnis 45 (2-3):285 - 297.
Why scientists gather evidence.Patrick Maher - 1990 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 41 (1):103-119.
Dynamic consistency in the logic of decision.Gerard J. Rothfus - 2020 - Philosophical Studies 177 (12):3923-3934.

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References found in this work

The Foundations of Statistics.Leonard J. Savage - 1954 - Synthese 11 (1):86-89.
Causal decision theory.David Lewis - 1981 - Australasian Journal of Philosophy 59 (1):5 – 30.
Asymmetries in Time.Paul Horwich - 1990 - Noûs 24 (5):804-806.
On the principle of total evidence.Irving John Good - 1966 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 17 (4):319-321.
Pragmatics and Empiricism.Brian Skyrms - 1986 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 37 (4):514-516.

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