Visualizing Probabilistic Proof

Washington University Jurisprudence Review 7 (1):39-75 (2014)
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Abstract

The author revisits the Blue Bus Problem, a famous thought-experiment in law involving probabilistic proof, and presents simple Bayesian solutions to different versions of the blue bus problem. In addition, the author expresses his solutions in standard and visual formats, i.e. in terms of probabilities and natural frequencies.

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F. E. Guerra-Pujol
University of Central Florida

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