The desirability bias in predictions under aleatory and epistemic uncertainty

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Cognition 229 (C):105254 (2022)
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10.1016/j.cognition.2022.105254

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Variants of uncertainty.Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky - 1982 - Cognition 11 (2):143-157.
The elusive wishful thinking effect.Maya Bar-Hillel & David Budescu - 1995 - Thinking and Reasoning 1 (1):71 – 103.

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