Smokers, Psychos, and Decision-Theoretic Uncertainty

Journal of Philosophy 113 (9):425-445 (2016)
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Abstract

In this paper I propose an approach to decision theory that I call metanormativism, where the key idea is that decision theory should take into account decision-theoretic uncertainty. I don’t attempt to argue in favor of this view, though I briefly offer some motivation for it. Instead, I argue that if the view is correct, it has important implications for the causal versus evidential decision-theory debate. First, it allows us to make rational sense of our seemingly divergent intuitions across the Smoking Lesion and The Psychopath Button cases. Second, it generates strong new arguments for preferring the causal approach to decision-theory over the evidential approach.

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William MacAskill
Oxford University

Citations of this work

Moral uncertainty.Krister Bykvist - 2017 - Philosophy Compass 12 (3):e12408.
Maximal Cluelessness.Andreas Mogensen - 2021 - Philosophical Quarterly 71 (1):141-162.

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