Hesse’s Condition for Transitivity of Probabilistic Support: A Friendly Reminder

Erkenntnis:1-11 (forthcoming)
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Abstract

The probabilistic support relation is known to violate transitivity. But over the years, philosophers have identified various conditions under which it does not, most notably screening-off and weak screening-off. In this short discussion note, I wish to highlight another condition that, unfortunately, is often neglected in the literature. This condition is due to Mary Hesse who recognized its transitivity-ensuring property long before other conditions entered the stage. I show that her condition is logically independent of screening-off and weak screening-off, but that, just like the two aforementioned, it entails the recently proposed very weak screening-off condition due to Jeanne Peijnenburg and David Atkinson.

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Jakob Koscholke
Goethe University Frankfurt

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The Direction of Time.Hans Reichenbach - 1956 - Philosophy 34 (128):65-66.
A Probabilistic Theory of Causality.P. Suppes - 1973 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 24 (4):409-410.

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