Abstract

This chapter focuses on one of the common fallacies in Western philosophy called the conjunction fallacy. It discusses a case of Linda who was deeply concerned with issues of discrimination and social justice and also participated in antinuclear demonstrations. The chapter applies the concept the present fallacy to the Linda Problem by using a Venn diagram. When one needs to determine the relative probability of different scenarios, one way to prevent himself/herself from making the conjunction fallacy is to determine whether any of the options is a subset of any other. If so, he/she can conclude that the subset option is not more probable. This rule works because a specific event can never be more likely than a general event that encompasses the specific event. The chapter explains why people are so frequently drawn in by the conjunction fallacy.