Works by Lu, Wanbo (exact spelling)

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    Model Averaging Estimation Method by Kullback–Leibler Divergence for Multiplicative Error Model.Wanbo Lu & Wenhui Shi - 2022 - Complexity 2022:1-13.
    In this paper, we propose the model averaging estimation method for multiplicative error model and construct the corresponding weight choosing criterion based on the Kullback–Leibler divergence with a hyperparameter to avoid the problem of overfitting. The resulting model average estimator is proved to be asymptotically optimal. It is shown that the Kullback–Leibler model averaging estimator asymptotically minimizes the in-sample Kullback–Leibler divergence and improves the forecast accuracy of out-of-sample even under different loss functions. In simulations, we show that the KLMA estimator (...)
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