Results for 'Guessing'

686 found
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  1.  31
    Heaven Help Us.Aundrea Kay Guess & Carolyn Conn - 2012 - Journal of Business Ethics Education 9:421-430.
    Larry Barnes, Executive Director of the Southwest Missouri Baptist Association (SMBA), received a telephone call that no executive wants to receive. The pastor at Hilltop Baptist Church reported suspicions of embezzlement by the church bookkeeper. Whatever decision Barnes made in advising the pastor would impact Hilltop, the church members, the SMBA, and a number of stakeholders, including himself. His primary duty as Executive Director was to provide guidance and advice to pastors of SMBA churches, help them expand, and assist in (...)
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  2.  5
    Heaven Help Us.Aundrea Kay Guess & Carolyn Conn - 2012 - Journal of Business Ethics Education 9:421-430.
    Larry Barnes, Executive Director of the Southwest Missouri Baptist Association (SMBA), received a telephone call that no executive wants to receive. The pastor at Hilltop Baptist Church reported suspicions of embezzlement by the church bookkeeper. Whatever decision Barnes made in advising the pastor would impact Hilltop, the church members, the SMBA, and a number of stakeholders, including himself. His primary duty as Executive Director was to provide guidance and advice to pastors of SMBA churches, help them expand, and assist in (...)
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  3. Kultur, bildung, geist+ culture, 19th-century germany.R. Guess - 1996 - History and Theory 35 (2):151-164.
     
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  4. Mark Johnston.Raymond Guess, Gilbert Harman, Richard Jeffrey, David Lewis, Alison Mclntyre & Michael Smith - 1991 - In Daniel Kolak & R. Martin (eds.), Self and Identity: Contemporary Philosophical Issues. Macmillan.
     
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  5.  22
    Philosophy and the good life: Reason and the passions in greek, cartesian and psychoanalytic ethics by John Cottingham. Cambridge university press, 1998, US$54.95 £37.50 hb, US$17.95 £13.95 pb. [REVIEW]Raymond Guess - 1999 - Philosophy 74 (2):282-295.
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  6. Assessing Cognitively Complex Strategy Use in an Untrained Domain.George T. Jackson, Rebekah H. Guess & Danielle S. McNamara - 2010 - Topics in Cognitive Science 2 (1):127-137.
    Researchers of advanced technologies are constantly seeking new ways of measuring and adapting to user performance. Appropriately adapting system feedback requires accurate assessments of user performance. Unfortunately, many assessment algorithms must be trained on and use pre‐prepared data sets or corpora to provide a sufficiently accurate portrayal of user knowledge and behavior. However, if the targeted content of the tutoring system changes depending on the situation, the assessment algorithms must be sufficiently independent to apply to untrained content. Such is the (...)
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  7. Good Guesses.Kevin Dorst & Matthew Mandelkern - 2023 - Philosophy and Phenomenological Research 105 (3):581-618.
    This paper is about guessing: how people respond to a question when they aren’t certain of the answer. Guesses show surprising and systematic patterns that the most obvious theories don’t explain. We argue that these patterns reveal that people aim to optimize a tradeoff between accuracy and informativity when forming their guess. After spelling out our theory, we use it to argue that guessing plays a central role in our cognitive lives. In particular, our account of guessing (...)
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  8. Thinking, Guessing, and Believing.Ben Holguin - 2022 - Philosophers' Imprint 22 (1):1-34.
    This paper defends the view, put roughly, that to think that p is to guess that p is the answer to the question at hand, and that to think that p rationally is for one’s guess to that question to be in a certain sense non-arbitrary. Some theses that will be argued for along the way include: that thinking is question-sensitive and, correspondingly, that ‘thinks’ is context-sensitive; that it can be rational to think that p while having arbitrarily low credence (...)
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  9.  40
    A guess at the riddle: essays on the physical underpinnings of quantum mechanics.David Z. Albert - 2023 - London, England: Harvard University Press.
    From the author of Quantum Mechanics and Experience, a hugely influential book that challenged key assertions by Niels Bohr and other founders of quantum mechanics, A Guess at the Riddle provides a major metaphysical overhaul of one of physics' most intractable problems-the quest to bridge quantum and classical physics in order to understand the nature of reality.
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  10. Good guesses as accuracy-specificity tradeoffs.Mattias Skipper - 2023 - Philosophical Studies 180 (7):2025-2050.
    Guessing is a familiar activity, one we engage in when we are uncertain of the answer to a question under discussion. It is also an activity that lends itself to normative evaluation: some guesses are better than others. The question that interests me here is what makes for a good guess. In recent work, Dorst and Mandelkern have argued that good guesses are distinguished from bad ones by how well they optimize a tradeoff between accuracy and specificity. Here I (...)
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  11.  26
    Guessing models and generalized Laver diamond.Matteo Viale - 2012 - Annals of Pure and Applied Logic 163 (11):1660-1678.
    We analyze the notion of guessing model, a way to assign combinatorial properties to arbitrary regular cardinals. Guessing models can be used, in combination with inaccessibility, to characterize various large cardinal axioms, ranging from supercompactness to rank-to-rank embeddings. The majority of these large cardinal properties can be defined in terms of suitable elementary embeddings j:Vγ→Vλ. One key observation is that such embeddings are uniquely determined by the image structures j[Vγ]≺Vλ. These structures will be the prototypes guessing models. (...)
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  12. Second Guessing: A Self-Help Manual.Sherrilyn Roush - 2009 - Episteme 6 (3):251-268.
    I develop a general framework with a rationality constraint that shows how coherently to represent and deal with second-order information about one's own judgmental reliability. It is a rejection of and generalization away from the typical Bayesian requirements of unconditional judgmental self-respect and perfect knowledge of one's own beliefs, and is defended by appeal to the Principal Principle. This yields consequences about maintaining unity of the self, about symmetries and asymmetries between the first- and third-person, and a principled way of (...)
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  13.  37
    Guessing.L. Jonathan Cohen - 1974 - Proceedings of the Aristotelian Society 74:189 - 210.
    L. Jonathan Cohen; XI*—Guessing, Proceedings of the Aristotelian Society, Volume 74, Issue 1, 1 June 1974, Pages 189–210, https://doi.org/10.1093/aristotelian/7.
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  14.  12
    Club guessing sequences and filters.Tetsuya Ishiu - 2005 - Journal of Symbolic Logic 70 (4):1037-1071.
    We investigate club guessing sequences and filters. We prove that assuming V=L, there exists a strong club guessing sequence on μ if and only if μ is not ineffable for every uncountable regular cardinal μ. We also prove that for every uncountable regular cardinal μ, relative to the existence of a Woodin cardinal above μ, it is consistent that every tail club guessing ideal on μ is precipitous.
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  15.  17
    Guessing more sets.Pierre Matet - 2015 - Annals of Pure and Applied Logic 166 (10):953-990.
  16.  35
    Club Guessing and the Universal Models.Mirna Džamonja - 2005 - Notre Dame Journal of Formal Logic 46 (3):283-300.
    We survey the use of club guessing and other PCF constructs in the context of showing that a given partially ordered class of objects does not have a largest, or a universal, element.
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  17.  16
    On guessing generalized clubs at the successors of regulars.Assaf Rinot - 2011 - Annals of Pure and Applied Logic 162 (7):566-577.
    König, Larson and Yoshinobu initiated the study of principles for guessing generalized clubs, and introduced a construction of a higher Souslin tree from the strong guessing principle.Complementary to the author’s work on the validity of diamond and non-saturation at the successor of singulars, we deal here with a successor of regulars. It is established that even the non-strong guessing principle entails non-saturation, and that, assuming the necessary cardinal arithmetic configuration, entails a diamond-type principle which suffices for the (...)
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  18. Accuracy and Educated Guesses.Sophie Horowitz - 2019 - Oxford Studies in Epistemology 6.
    Credences, unlike full beliefs, can’t be true or false. So what makes credences more or less accurate? This chapter offers a new answer to this question: credences are accurate insofar as they license true educated guesses, and less accurate insofar as they license false educated guesses. This account is compatible with immodesty; : a rational agent will regard her own credences to be best for the purposes of making true educated guesses. The guessing account can also be used to (...)
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  19.  44
    I guess.Jim Mackenzie - 1987 - Australasian Journal of Philosophy 65 (3):290 – 300.
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  20.  6
    XI*—Guessing.L. Jonathan Cohen - 1974 - Proceedings of the Aristotelian Society 74 (1):189-210.
    L. Jonathan Cohen; XI*—Guessing, Proceedings of the Aristotelian Society, Volume 74, Issue 1, 1 June 1974, Pages 189–210, https://doi.org/10.1093/aristotelian/7.
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  21. A Guess at the Riddle: The Law of Mind.C. S. Peirce - unknown
     
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  22.  6
    Guessing versus Choosing an Upcoming Task.Thomas Kleinsorge & Juliane Scheil - 2016 - Frontiers in Psychology 7.
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  23. Guessing, Mind-Changing, and the Second Ambiguous Class.Samuel Alexander - 2016 - Notre Dame Journal of Formal Logic 57 (2):209-220.
    In his dissertation, Wadge defined a notion of guessability on subsets of the Baire space and gave two characterizations of guessable sets. A set is guessable if and only if it is in the second ambiguous class, if and only if it is eventually annihilated by a certain remainder. We simplify this remainder and give a new proof of the latter equivalence. We then introduce a notion of guessing with an ordinal limit on how often one can change one’s (...)
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  24.  68
    Guessing and Abduction.Mark Tschaepe - 2014 - Transactions of the Charles S. Peirce Society 50 (1):115.
    “Scientific research faces up with an open and unknown world”Within the work of C. S. Peirce, the most fundamental and contentious form of inference is that of abduction. According to Peirce, abduction is the only type of inference from which new ideas are created (CP 5.171, 1903). He wrote, “every single item of scientific theory which stands established today has been due to Abduction” (CP 5.172, 1903). Similarly, “All that makes knowledge applicable comes to us viâ abduction. […] Not the (...)
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  25.  15
    Guessing Strategies, Aging, and Bias Effects in Perceptual Identification.Leah L. Light & Robert F. Kennison - 1995 - Consciousness and Cognition 5 (4):463-499.
    In the typical single-stimulus perceptual identification task, accuracy is improved by prior study of test words, a repetition priming benefit. There is also a cost, inasmuch as previously studied words are likely to be produced as responses if the test word is orthographically similar but not identical to a studied word. In two-alternative forced-choice perceptual identification, a test word is flashed and followed by two alternatives, one of which is the correct response. When the two alternatives are orthographically similar, test (...)
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  26.  8
    Guessing Strategies in Perceptual Identification: A Reply to McKoon and Ratcliff.Leah L. Light & Robert F. Kennison - 1995 - Consciousness and Cognition 5 (4):512-524.
    Light and Kennison found that bias effects in the forced-choice perceptual identification of words occurred only in a subset of participants, those who claimed on a strategy questionnaire to be deliberately guessing words they had studied previously. McKoon and Ratcliff raised a number of objections to the proposal that bias effects are due to guessing strategies, citing difficulties in our statistical treatment of data, our use of subjective reports to classify participants, and our approach to the general problem (...)
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  27.  11
    Guessing, Economy, Epidemiology: The HIV/AIDS Hypothesis.Mark Tschaepe - unknown
    Of the scientific concepts that the American philosopher, Charles S. Peirce, analyzed in his work, two of the less commonly investigated have been those of guessing and of scientific economy. Peirce argued that guessing was the initial moment of hypothesis-formation. He also argued that economic factors play a significant role in the development and acceptance of hypotheses; however, the relationship between these two concepts has been neglected in most philosophical and scientific literature. In the following, I provide an (...)
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  28.  17
    Asymmetric guessing games.Zafer Akin - 2023 - Theory and Decision 94 (4):637-676.
    This paper theoretically and experimentally investigates the behavior of asymmetric players in guessing games. The asymmetry is created by introducing r>1\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$r>1$$\end{document} replicas of one of the players. Two-player and restricted N-player cases are examined in detail. Based on the model parameters, the equilibrium is either unique in which all players choose zero or mixed in which the weak player (r=1\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$r=1$$\end{document}) imitates the (...)
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  29.  1
    Guessing the face of evil: some characteristic traits to Stephen King’s demonology.N. N. Murzin - forthcoming - Vox Philosophical journal.
    Evil and the fear coming along with it — either the fear to become its victim or its agent — is haunting mankind’s consciousness since the dawn of time. The powerful instinctive rejection that evil causes is only natural, and yet it prevents us from cognizing it and, thus, from building more effective defenses against it. Art sublimes the direct blow of our anxiety by transforming evil into symbolic and metaphorical figures which we can imaginably deal with and even accept (...)
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  30.  35
    Second-Guessing Scientists and Engineers: Post Hoc Criticism and the Reform of Practice in Green Chemistry and Engineering.William T. Lynch - 2015 - Science and Engineering Ethics 21 (5):1217-1240.
    The article examines and extends work bringing together engineering ethics and Science and Technology Studies, which had built upon Diane Vaughan’s analysis of the Challenger shuttle accident as a test case. Reconsidering the use of her term “normalization of deviance,” the article argues for a middle path between moralizing against and excusing away engineering practices contributing to engineering disaster. To explore an illustrative pedagogical case and to suggest avenues for constructive research developing this middle path, it examines the emergence of (...)
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  31.  16
    A guessing strategy with the anticipation technique.Lloyd R. Peterson, Charles L. Brewer & Richard Bertucco - 1963 - Journal of Experimental Psychology 65 (3):258.
  32.  19
    Guessing and non-guessing of canonical functions.David Asperó - 2007 - Annals of Pure and Applied Logic 146 (2):150-179.
    It is possible to control to a large extent, via semiproper forcing, the parameters measuring the guessing density of the members of any given antichain of stationary subsets of ω1 . Here, given a pair of ordinals, we will say that a stationary set Sω1 has guessing density if β0=γ and , where γ is, for every stationary S*ω1, the infimum of the set of ordinals τ≤ω1+1 for which there is a function with ot)<τ for all νS* and (...)
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  33. Guessing the future of the past: Derek Turner, Making Prehistory: Historical Science and the Realism Debate. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 2007.Ben Jeffares - 2010 - Biology and Philosophy 25 (1):125-142.
    I review the book “Making Prehistory: Historical Science and the Scientific Realism Debate” by Derek Turner. Turner suggests that philosophers should take seriously the historical sciences such as geology when considering philosophy of science issues. To that end, he explores the scientific realism debate with the historical sciences in mind. His conclusion is a view allied to that of Arthur Fine: a view Turner calls the natural historical attitude. While I find Turner’s motivations good, I find his characterisation of the (...)
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  34.  76
    Where guesses come from: Evolutionary epistemology and the anomaly of guided variation.Edward Stein & Peter Lipton - 1989 - Biology and Philosophy 4 (1):33-56.
    This paper considers a central objection to evolutionary epistemology. The objection is that biological and epistemic development are not analogous, since while biological variation is blind, epistemic variation is not. The generation of hypotheses, unlike the generation of genotypes, is not random. We argue that this objection is misguided and show how the central analogy of evolutionary epistemology can be preserved. The core of our reply is that much epistemic variation is indeed directed by heuristics, but these heuristics are analogous (...)
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  35.  16
    The guessing-sequence hypothesis, the 'spread of effect' and number-guessing habits.William O. Jenkins & Leta M. Cunningham - 1949 - Journal of Experimental Psychology 39 (2):158.
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  36.  17
    Club-guessing, stationary reflection, and coloring theorems.Todd Eisworth - 2010 - Annals of Pure and Applied Logic 161 (10):1216-1243.
    We obtain very strong coloring theorems at successors of singular cardinals from failures of certain instances of simultaneous reflection of stationary sets. In particular, the simplest of our results establishes that if μ is singular and , then there is a regular cardinal θ<μ such that any fewer than cf stationary subsets of must reflect simultaneously.
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  37.  9
    Guessing and the order of approximation effect.Lester A. Lefton - 1973 - Journal of Experimental Psychology 101 (2):401.
  38. A Guess at the Other Riddle: The Peircean Material Categories.Richard Kenneth Atkins - 2012 - Transactions of the Charles S. Peirce Society 48 (4):530-557.
    In “An ‘Entirely Different Series of Categories,’” I argue that aside from Peirce’s formal categories of Firstness, Secondness, and Thirdness, Peirceans should acknowledge a second set of categories I call the material categories. I also argue that the material categories are irreducible to the formal categories. However, in that article I offer no account of what the material categories are. Moreover, Peirce himself never provides a clear and explicit account of them. The present essay attempts to provide an account of (...)
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  39.  7
    Best-guess errors in multistage inference.James H. Steiger & Charles F. Gettys - 1972 - Journal of Experimental Psychology 92 (1):1.
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  40.  23
    The Club Guessing Ideal: Commentary on a Theorem of Gitik and Shelah.Matthew Foreman & Peter Komjath - 2005 - Journal of Mathematical Logic 5 (1):99-147.
    It is shown in this paper that it is consistent (relative to almost huge cardinals) for various club guessing ideals to be saturated.
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  41. Second-guessing second nature.Paul Bartha & Steven F. Savitt - 1998 - Analysis 58 (4):252–263.
  42.  16
    Guessing Meaning From Word Sounds of Unfamiliar Languages: A Cross-Cultural Sound Symbolism Study.Anita D’Anselmo, Giulia Prete, Przemysław Zdybek, Luca Tommasi & Alfredo Brancucci - 2019 - Frontiers in Psychology 10.
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  43.  18
    Second Guessing.Anonymous One - 2014 - Narrative Inquiry in Bioethics 4 (1):9-11.
    In lieu of an abstract, here is a brief excerpt of the content:Second GuessingAnonymous OneThis is difficult for me to write because I have tremendous respect for every doctor that has been involved in my son’s care. I firmly believe that they chose and administered the highest level of care that they assessed as appropriate; that they cared for him both personally and professionally as if he were their own child; and that he was in the care of acknowledged giants (...)
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  44.  4
    “Guess what I'm doing”: Extending legibility to sequential decision tasks.Miguel Faria, Francisco S. Melo & Ana Paiva - 2024 - Artificial Intelligence 330 (C):104107.
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  45.  16
    III—Guessing by Frequency.Ian Hacking - 1964 - Proceedings of the Aristotelian Society 64 (1):55-70.
    Ian Hacking; III—Guessing by Frequency, Proceedings of the Aristotelian Society, Volume 64, Issue 1, 1 June 1964, Pages 55–70, https://doi.org/10.1093/aristotel.
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  46.  48
    Guessing.Sidney Gendin - 1998 - Philosophia 26 (3-4):435-440.
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  47.  4
    Guess who? Identity attribution as Bayesian inference.Francesco Rigoli - forthcoming - Philosophical Psychology.
    An influential argument is that mental processes can be explained at three different levels of analysis: the functional, algorithmic, and implementation level. Identity attribution (the process whereby an identity is attributed to another individual or to the self) has been rarely explored at the functional level. To address this, here I propose a theory of identity attribution grounded on Bayesian inference, being the latter a well-established functional perspective in cognitive science. The theory posits that an identity is inferred based on (...)
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  48.  23
    Guessing strategy constraints in the Bransford-Franks paradigm.Lance M. Pollack & Stuart Katz - 1977 - Bulletin of the Psychonomic Society 9 (3):224-226.
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  49.  6
    Second Guessing the Patient’s Trust: Facing the Challenge of the Difficult Surrogate.Gail J. Povar - 1993 - Journal of Clinical Ethics 4 (2):168-171.
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  50.  10
    ‘I guess I was surprised by an app telling an adult they had to go to bed before half ten’: A phenomenological exploration of behavioural ‘nudges’.John Toner, Jacquelyn Allen-Collinson & Luke Jones - 2021 - Qualitative Research in Sport, Exercise and Health 14.
    In recent years, the role of self-tracking technologies has been investigated, debated and critiqued within qualitative research circles. The principal means by which self-tracking technologies seek to promote health-related behaviours and behaviour change is through the use of ‘nudges’. Despite the increasing prevalence of nudge-style modes of body-mind governance, there remains little in-depth qualitative research on people’s embodied responses to this form of behavioural management. The current study sought to address this lacuna by drawing on a form of empirical, sociological (...)
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