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Eldar Shafir [10]Eldar B. Shafir [2]
  1.  32
    Uncertainty and the difficulty of thinking through disjunctions.Eldar Shafir - 1994 - Cognition 50 (1-3):403-430.
  2.  62
    Some origins of belief.Daniel N. Osherson, Edward E. Smith & Eldar B. Shafir - 1986 - Cognition 24 (3):197-224.
  3. Intuitions about rationality and cognition.Eldar Shafir - 1993 - In K. I. Manktelow & D. E. Over (eds.), Rationality: psychological and philosophical perspectives. New York: Routledge. pp. 260--283.
  4. Extrapolating human probability judgment.Daniel Osherson, Edward E. Smith, Tracy S. Myers, Eldar Shafir & Michael Stob - 1994 - Theory and Decision 36 (2):103-129.
    We advance a model of human probability judgment and apply it to the design of an extrapolation algorithm. Such an algorithm examines a person's judgment about the likelihood of various statements and is then able to predict the same person's judgments about new statements. The algorithm is tested against judgments produced by thirty undergraduates asked to assign probabilities to statements about mammals.
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  5.  70
    A Source of Bayesian Priors.Daniel Osherson, Edward E. Smith, Eldar Shafir, Antoine Gualtierotti & Kevin Biolsi - 1995 - Cognitive Science 19 (3):377-405.
    Establishing reasonable, prior distributions remains a significant obstacle for the construction of probabilistic expert systems. Human assessment of chance is often relied upon for this purpose, but this has the drawback of being inconsistent with axioms of probability. This article advances a method for extracting a coherent distribution of probability from human judgment. The method is based on a psychological model of probabilistic reasoning, followed by a correction phase using linear programming.
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  6.  57
    Extracting the coherent core of human probability judgement: a research program for cognitive psychology.Daniel Osherson, Eldar Shafir & Edward E. Smith - 1994 - Cognition 50 (1-3):299-313.
  7.  26
    Ignoring alarming news brings indifference: Learning about the world and the self.Elizabeth Levy Paluck, Eldar Shafir & Sherry Jueyu Wu - 2017 - Cognition 167 (C):160-171.
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  8.  76
    Questioning the cheater-detection hypothesis: New studies with the selection task.Erica Carlisle & Eldar Shafir - 2005 - Thinking and Reasoning 11 (2):97 – 122.
    The cheater-detection (CD) hypothesis suggests that people who otherwise perform poorly on the Wason selection task perform well when the task is couched in cheater-detection contexts. We report three studies with new selection problems that are similar to the originals but that question the CD hypothesis. The first two studies document a pattern heretofore attributed to CD mechanisms, namely good performance with “regular” rules and inferior performance with “switched” rules, all in problems that lack a cheater-detection context. The final study (...)
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  9. Numbers l-2.Philip N. Johnson-Laird, Eldar Shafir, Itamar Simonson, Amos Tversky, P. Legrenzi, V. Girotto, Pn Johnson-Laird, Edward E. Smith, Daniel Osherson & Nancy Pennington - 1993 - Cognition 49 (297):297.
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  10. Decision making.Robyn A. LeBoeuf & Eldar B. Shafir - 2005 - In K. Holyoak & B. Morrison (eds.), The Cambridge handbook of thinking and reasoning. Cambridge, England: Cambridge University Press. pp. 243--265.
     
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  11.  23
    On the nonapplicability of a rational analysis to human cognition.Eldar Shafir - 1991 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 14 (3):502-503.
  12.  35
    Rational agents, real people and the quest for optimality.Eldar Shafir - 1991 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 14 (2):232-232.