Narration in judiciary fact-finding: a probabilistic explication

Artificial Intelligence and Law 26 (4):345-376 (2018)
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Abstract

Legal probabilism is the view that juridical fact-finding should be modeled using Bayesian methods. One of the alternatives to it is the narration view, according to which instead we should conceptualize the process in terms of competing narrations of what happened. The goal of this paper is to develop a reconciliatory account, on which the narration view is construed from the Bayesian perspective within the framework of formal Bayesian epistemology.

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Rafal Urbaniak
University of Gdansk