Higher order probabilities and coherence

Philosophy of Science 40 (3):373-381 (1973)
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Abstract

It is well known that a degree-of-belief function P is coherent if and only if it satisfies the probability calculus. In this paper, we show that the notion of coherence can be extended to higher order probabilities such as P(P(h)=p)=q, and that a higher order degree-of-belief function P is coherent if and only if it satisfies the probability calculus plus the following axiom: P(h)=p iff P(P(h)=p)=1. Also, a number of lemmata which extend an incomplete probability function to a complete one are established

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Citations of this work

Knowledge of Our Own Beliefs.Sherrilyn Roush - 2016 - Philosophy and Phenomenological Research 93 (3):45-69.
The structure of radical probabilism.Brian Skyrms - 1996 - Erkenntnis 45 (2-3):285 - 297.
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A Consistent Set of Infinite-Order Probabilities.David Atkinson & Jeanne Peijnenburg - 2013 - International Journal of Approximate Reasoning 54:1351-1360.

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References found in this work

Fair bets and inductive probabilities.John G. Kemeny - 1955 - Journal of Symbolic Logic 20 (3):263-273.
On confirmation and rational betting.R. Sherman Lehman - 1955 - Journal of Symbolic Logic 20 (3):251-262.

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