Confirmation by Explanation: A Bayesian Justification of IBE

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Abstract

We provide a novel Bayesian justification of inference to the best explanation. More specifically, we present conditions under which explanatory considerations can provide a significant confirmatory boost for hypotheses that provide the best explanation of the relevant evidence. Furthermore, we show that the proposed Bayesian model of IBE is able to deal naturally with the best known criticisms of IBE such as van Fraassen?s?bad lot? argument.

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Author Profiles

Stephan Hartmann
Ludwig Maximilians Universität, München
Marko Tesic
Benjamin Eva
Duke University

Citations of this work

Why is There Something?Edward MacKinnon - 2023 - Philosophia 51 (2):835-855.

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References found in this work

Laws and symmetry.Bas C. van Fraassen - 1989 - New York: Oxford University Press.
Bayesian Epistemology.Luc Bovens & Stephan Hartmann - 2003 - Oxford: Oxford University Press. Edited by Stephan Hartmann.
Inference to the Best Explanation.Peter Lipton - 1991 - London and New York: Routledge/Taylor and Francis Group.

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