Informal Logic 31 (1):56-65 (2011)
Abstract |
Normal 0 0 1 85 487 UBC 4 1 598 11.773 0 0 0 Under what conditions is the failure to have evidence that p evidence that p is false? Absent evidence reasoning is common in many sciences, including astronomy, archeology, biology and medicine. An often-repeated epistemological motto is that “the absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.” Analysis of absent evidence reasoning usually takes place in a deductive or frequentist hypothesis-testing framework. Instead, I develop a Bayesian analysis of this motto and prove that, under plausible assumptions about the nature of evidence, the absence of evidence is evidence of absence
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Keywords | absence of evidence arguments from ignorance Bayesianism evidence, evidence of absence |
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References found in this work BETA
Error and the Growth of Experimental Knowledge.Deborah Mayo - 1996 - International Studies in the Philosophy of Science 15 (1):455-459.
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Citations of this work BETA
The Curious Silence of the Dog and Paul of Tarsus: Revisiting The Argument From Silence.Michael Gary Duncan - 2012 - Informal Logic 32 (1):83-97.
Silence as an Argument and a Manifestation of Respect in the Argumentation in John Locke's Works.Olena Shcherbyna & Nataliia Shcherbyna - 2019 - Sententiae 38 (2):6-18.
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