Cognitive Science 40 (4):848-880 (2016)
Authors |
|
Abstract |
Ranking theory is a formal epistemology that has been developed in over 600 pages in Spohn's recent book The Laws of Belief, which aims to provide a normative account of the dynamics of beliefs that presents an alternative to current probabilistic approaches. It has long been received in the AI community, but it has not yet found application in experimental psychology. The purpose of this paper is to derive clear, quantitative predictions by exploiting a parallel between ranking theory and a statistical model called logistic regression. This approach is illustrated by the development of a model for the conditional inference task using Spohn's ranking theoretic approach to conditionals.
|
Keywords | Semantics of conditionals Ranking theory Quantitative predictions Conditional reasoning Reasons Relevance Psychology of reasoning |
Categories | (categorize this paper) |
Reprint years | 2015, 2016 |
DOI | 10.1111/cogs.12267 |
Options |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
Download options
References found in this work BETA
Making It Explicit: Reasoning, Representing, and Discursive Commitment.Robert Brandom - 1994 - Harvard University Press.
Bayesian Rationality: The Probabilistic Approach to Human Reasoning.Mike Oaksford & Nick Chater - 2007 - Oxford University Press.
The Laws of Belief: Ranking Theory and its Philosophical Applications.Wolfgang Spohn - 2012 - Oxford University Press.
View all 33 references / Add more references
Citations of this work BETA
Being Realist About Bayes, and the Predictive Processing Theory of Mind.Matteo Colombo, Lee Elkin & Stephan Hartmann - 2021 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 72 (1):185-220.
Norm Conflicts and Conditionals.Niels Skovgaard-Olsen, David Kellen, Ulrike Hahn & Karl Christoph Klauer - 2019 - Psychological Review (5):611-633.
The Relevance Effect and Conditionals.Niels Skovgaard-Olsen, Henrik Singmann & Karl Christoph Klauer - 2016 - Cognition 150:26-36.
Motivating the Relevance Approach to Conditionals.Niels Skovgaard-Olsen - 2016 - Mind and Language 31 (5):555-579.
Relevance and Reason Relations.Niels Skovgaard‐Olsen, Henrik Singmann & Karl Christoph Klauer - 2017 - Cognitive Science 41 (S5):1202-1215.
View all 11 citations / Add more citations
Similar books and articles
Making Ranking Theory Useful for Psychology of Reasoning.Niels Skovgaard Olsen - 2014 - Dissertation, University of Konstanz
A Ranking‐Theoretic Approach to Conditionals.Wolfgang Spohn - 2013 - Cognitive Science 37 (6):1074-1106.
Conditional Ranking Revision: Iterated Revision with Sets of Conditionals.Emil Weydert - 2012 - Journal of Philosophical Logic 41 (1):237-271.
Structural Inference From Conditional Knowledge Bases.Gabriele Kern-Isberner & Christian Eichhorn - 2014 - Studia Logica 102 (4):751-769.
A Mental Model Analysis of Young Children's Conditional Reasoning with Meaningful Premises.Henry Markovits - 2000 - Thinking and Reasoning 6 (4):335 – 347.
Conditionals: A Unifying Ranking-Theoretic Perspective.Wolfgang Spohn - 2015 - Philosophers' Imprint 15.
A Survey of Ranking Theory.Wolfgang Spohn - 2009 - In Franz Huber & Christoph Schmidt-Petri (eds.), Degrees of Belief. Springer.
A Brief Comparison of Pollock's Defeasible Reasoning and Ranking Functions.Wolfgang Spohn - 2002 - Synthese 131 (1):39-56.
Conditionals and Conditional Thinking.Andrea Manfrinati, Pierdaniele Giaretta & Paolo Cherubini - 2008 - Mind and Society 7 (1):21-34.
The Laws of Belief: Ranking Theory and its Philosophical Applications.Wolfgang Spohn - 2012 - Oxford University Press.
A Little Logic Goes a Long Way: Basing Experiment on Semantic Theory in the Cognitive Science of Conditional Reasoning.Keith Stenning & Michiel Lambalgen - 2004 - Cognitive Science 28 (4):481-529.
Ordinal Conditional Functions. A Dynamic Theory of Epistemic States.Wolfgang Spohn - 1988 - In W. L. Harper & B. Skyrms (eds.), Causation in Decision, Belief Change, and Statistics, vol. II. Kluwer Academic Publishers.
The Epistemology of Indicative Conditionals: Formal and Empirical Approaches.Igor Douven - 2015 - Cambridge, England: Cambridge University Press.
Analytics
Added to PP index
2015-07-25
Total views
287 ( #36,499 of 2,498,932 )
Recent downloads (6 months)
20 ( #42,740 of 2,498,932 )
2015-07-25
Total views
287 ( #36,499 of 2,498,932 )
Recent downloads (6 months)
20 ( #42,740 of 2,498,932 )
How can I increase my downloads?
Downloads