Inductive, Abductive and Probabilistic Reasoning

In Colin Aitken, Amalia Amaya, Kevin D. Ashley, Carla Bagnoli, Giorgio Bongiovanni, Bartosz Brożek, Cristiano Castelfranchi, Samuele Chilovi, Marcello Di Bello, Jaap Hage, Kenneth Einar Himma, Lewis A. Kornhauser, Emiliano Lorini, Fabrizio Macagno, Andrei Marmor, J. J. Moreso, Veronica Rodriguez-Blanco, Antonino Rotolo, Giovanni Sartor, Burkhard Schafer, Chiara Valentini, Bart Verheij, Douglas Walton & Wojciech Załuski (eds.), Handbook of Legal Reasoning and Argumentation. Dordrecht, Netherland: Springer Verlag. pp. 275-313 (2011)
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Abstract

The chapter traces the co-evolution of probability theory and inductive reasoning in the sciences and the law, from the early beginnings in the eighteenth century to problems in contemporary discussions on how to interpret and quantify DNA evidence. In addition to being a useful technique for what? ‘The adminstration of criminal justice’? I have never thought of philosophy and epistemology as being ‘techniques’, the philosophical and epistemological context also casts light on the “quest for certainty” in legal reasoning and in legal reasoning and ultimately our ideal of justice.

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Burkhard Schafer
University of Edinburgh

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