Philosophical Studies 178 (6):2021-2041 (2020)
Authors |
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Abstract |
A question, long discussed by legal scholars, has recently provoked a considerable
amount of philosophical attention: ‘Is it ever appropriate to base a legal verdict on
statistical evidence alone?’ Many philosophers who have considered this question
reject legal reliance on bare statistics, even when the odds of error are extremely
low. This paper develops a puzzle for the dominant theories concerning why we
should eschew bare statistics. Namely, there seem to be compelling scenarios in
which there are multiple sources of incriminating statistical evidence. As we conjoin
together different types of statistical evidence, it becomes increasingly incredible
to suppose that a positive verdict would be impermissible. I suggest that none of
the dominant views in the literature can easily accommodate such cases, and close
by offering a diagnosis of my own.
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Keywords | Statistical evidence Legal Proof Proof Paradox Philosophy of Law Blue Bus Lottery cases Beyond a reasonable doubt Balance of Probabilities Probability |
Categories | (categorize this paper) |
Reprint years | 2021 |
ISBN(s) | |
DOI | 10.1007/s11098-020-01521-z |
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References found in this work BETA
Knowledge and Its Limits.Timothy Williamson - 2005 - Philosophy and Phenomenological Research 70 (2):452-458.
Between Probability and Certainty: What Justifies Belief.Martin Smith - 2016 - Oxford University Press UK.
View all 35 references / Add more references
Citations of this work BETA
Justice in Epistemic Gaps: The ‘Proof Paradox’ Revisited.Lewis Ross - 2021 - Philosophical Issues 31 (1):315-333.
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2020-08-16
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37 ( #23,528 of 2,499,389 )
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