Purely subjective extended Bayesian models with Knightian unambiguity

Theory and Decision 79 (4):547-571 (2015)
  Copy   BIBTEX

Abstract

This paper provides a model of belief representation in which ambiguity and unambiguity are endogenously distinguished in a purely subjective setting where objects of choices are, as usual, maps from states to consequences. Specifically, I first extend the maxmin expected utility theory and get a representation of beliefs such that the probabilistic beliefs over each ambiguous event are represented by a non-degenerate interval, while the ones over each unambiguous event are represented by a number. I then consider a class of the biseparable preferences. Two representation results are achieved and can be used to identify the unambiguity in the context of the biseparable preferences. Finally a subjective definition of ambiguity is suggested. It provides a choice theoretic foundation for the Knightian distinction between ambiguity and unambiguity.

Links

PhilArchive



    Upload a copy of this work     Papers currently archived: 91,386

External links

Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server

Through your library

Similar books and articles

In praise of ecumenical Bayes.Michael D. Lee - 2011 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 34 (4):206-207.
Bayesian model learning based on predictive entropy.Jukka Corander & Pekka Marttinen - 2006 - Journal of Logic, Language and Information 15 (1-2):5-20.
Probability, Objectivity, and Induction.Arnold Baise - 2013 - Journal of Ayn Rand Studies 13 (2):81-95.
Bayes in the Brain—On Bayesian Modelling in Neuroscience.Matteo Colombo & Peggy Seriès - 2012 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 63 (3):697-723.
In praise of secular Bayesianism.Evan Heit & Shanna Erickson - 2011 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 34 (4):202-202.
Three models of sequential belief updating on uncertain evidence.James Hawthorne - 2004 - Journal of Philosophical Logic 33 (1):89-123.
Bayesian models and simulations in cognitive science.Giuseppe Boccignone & Roberto Cordeschi - 2007 - Workshop Models and Simulations 2, Tillburg, NL.
A parsimonious model of subjective life expectancy.A. Ludwig & A. Zimper - 2013 - Theory and Decision 75 (4):519-541.

Analytics

Added to PP
2015-09-03

Downloads
23 (#666,649)

6 months
2 (#1,240,909)

Historical graph of downloads
How can I increase my downloads?

Citations of this work

No citations found.

Add more citations

References found in this work

The Foundations of Statistics.Leonard J. Savage - 1954 - Wiley Publications in Statistics.
A treatise on probability.John Maynard Keynes - 1921 - Mineola, N.Y.: Dover Publications.
Truth and probability.Frank Ramsey - 2010 - In Antony Eagle (ed.), Philosophy of Probability: Contemporary Readings. New York: Routledge. pp. 52-94.
Risk, Uncertainty and Profit.Frank H. Knight - 1921 - University of Chicago Press.
The Foundations of Statistics.Leonard J. Savage - 1954 - Synthese 11 (1):86-89.

View all 10 references / Add more references