Reconciliation with the Utility of Chance by Elaborated Outcomes Destroys the Axiomatic Basis of Expected Utility Theory

Theory and Decision 49 (3):223-234 (2000)
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Abstract

Expected utility theory does not directly deal with the utility of chance. It has been suggested in the literature (Samuelson, 1952, Markowitz, 1959) that this can be remedied by an approach which explicitly models the emotional consequences which give rise to the utility of chance. We refer to this as the elaborated outcomes approach. It is argued that the elaborated outcomes approach destroys the possibility of deriving a representation theorem based on the usual axioms of expected utility theory. This is shown with the help of an example due to Markowitz. It turns out that the space of conceivable lotteries over elaborated outcomes is too narrow to permit the application of the axioms. Moreover it is shown that a representation theorem does not hold for the example

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Robin Elizabeth Pope
University of New South Wales

Citations of this work

Book Review. [REVIEW]Kjell Hausken - 2007 - Theory and Decision 62 (3):303-309.

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References found in this work

Attractions to and Repulsions from Chance.Robin Pope - 1998 - Vienna Circle Institute Yearbook 5:95-107.

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