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Anticipation, Agency and Complexity
Roberto Poli & Marco Valerio (eds.)
Cham: Springer Verlag (2019)
Abstract
This volume presents a selection of the Proceedings of the Workshop on Anticipation, Agency and Complexity held in Trento on April 2017. The contributions contained in the book brilliantly revolve around three core concepts: agency, complexity and anticipation, giving precious insights to further define the discipline of anticipation. In a world that moves increasingly fast, constantly on the verge of disruptive events, more and more scholars and practitioners in any field feel in need of new approaches to make sense of the complexity and uncertainty that the future seems to bear. The theory of anticipation tries to describe how possible futures are intrinsically intertwined with the present.Author's Profile
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Chapters
Anticipative Processes in the Regeneration of Built Environment Through Major Events
This contribution illustrates some possible applications of futures studies – more specifically of the anticipative processes – in the regeneration of the built environment, in relation to other contemporary issues like sustainable development, strategic planning, creativity and major events.In the ... see more
Energy Transition, Anticipation and Change: A Study on the Anticipatory Experiences of the Low Carbon Society
A paradigm shift towards the so-called low carbon society is one of the main challenges that our societies have to face in the near future. In the framework of the European Commission’s 7th Framework Program research project MILESECURE-2050, empirical research was carried out to understand the socia... see more
Anticipations of Digital Sustainability: Self-Delusions, Disappointments and Expectations
The strong momentum of information and communication technologies in the last decades has been associated with mostly positive anticipations of their impact as drivers of human progress, especially as a key element of response to the challenges posed by the unsustainability of our current social, ec... see more
The Notion of Existential Risk and Its Role for the Anticipation of Technological Development’s Long-Term Impact
Existential risk has been defined by Nick Bostrom :1–31, 2002) as “one where an adverse outcome would either annihilate Earth-originating intelligent life or permanently and drastically curtail its potential”. In this article, I will argue that the notion of existential risk should replace the so-ca... see more
Pioneer Analysis as a Futures Research Method for Analysing Transformations
Pioneers drive futures. The book chapter presents pioneer analysis as a useful approach for the analysis of transformations in the context of futures research and anticipation. The chapter begins with an introduction on how pioneers have typically been conceptualised in academic literature. We claim... see more
Self-Defeating Prophecies: When Sociology Really Matters
Social predictions , due to their inner characteristic of being published, may have an influence on their own subject matter and, in return, on themselves. On the basis of this assumption, in the context of a discontinuous debate, the consolidated distinction between self-fulfillingness and self-def... see more
Multilayeredness of Anticipation
In the paper I argue for the multilayeredness of anticipation. After presenting what multilayeredness is and how it may be understood, I analyse three main axes of multilayeredness of anticipation. These are short- versus long-term perspective, then existence versus non-existence, and, finally, firs... see more
The Role of Mindsets and Attitudes in Determining Future Awareness
The way we perceive time has changed across the centuries. Some authors suggest that the dynamic complexity of the current world and its intrinsic uncertainty have loosened and modified the bonds among past, present and future. The present has extended and has become “thick” : 85–99, 2015), while we... see more
Pragmatic Utopias
Four different aspects of the anticipation, agency, and complexity conundrum are analyzed: best practices, evidence-based policies, innovation and value creation, and pragmatic utopias. These four aspects are arranged according to their level of simplicity and contentiousness, from the simple and le... see more
Managing Emerging Risks in Strategic Scenarios of Uncertainty and Complexity: A Theoretical Framework
In a context of accelerated change and interlinked systems we are facing the challenge to build a strategic planning that can be resilient in different future scenarios, in order to be prepared for emerging risks and opportunities. In this work we study an approach to manage emerging risks and oppor... see more
A Strategic Proposal for the New Society: Surviving and Flourishing from Chaos
Current social problems are multiscale-order deficiencies, which cannot be fixed by the traditional hierarchical approach alone, by doing what we do better or more intensely, but rather by changing the way we do. As the experiences in the past 50 years have shown, unpredictable changes can be very d... see more
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Function, anticipation, representation.Mark H. Bickhard - 2001 - AIP Conference Proceedings 573:459-469.
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