Order dependence and jeffrey conditionalization

Abstract

A glance at the sky raises my probability of rain to .7. As it happens, the conditional probabilities of each state given rain remain the same, and similarly for their conditional probabilities given no rain. As Jeffrey (1983, Ch. 11) points out, my new distribution P2 is therefore fixed by the law of total probability. For example, P2(RC) = P2(RC | R)P2(R)+P2(RC | ¯.

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Citations of this work

Defeasible Conditionalization.Paul D. Thorn - 2014 - Journal of Philosophical Logic 43 (2-3):283-302.

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References found in this work

Field and Jeffrey conditionalization.Daniel Garber - 1980 - Philosophy of Science 47 (1):142-145.
Why bayesian psychology is incomplete.Frank Döring - 1999 - Philosophy of Science 66 (3):389.
Why Bayesian Psychology Is Incomplete.Frank Döring - 1999 - Philosophy of Science 66 (S1):S379 - S389.

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