Episteme 17 (1):64-72 (2020)
Authors |
|
Abstract |
I present a puzzle about the epistemic role beliefs about experts' beliefs play in a rational agent's system of beliefs. It is shown that accepting the claim that an expert's degree of belief in a proposition, A, screens off the evidential support another proposition, B, gives to A in case the expert knows and is certain about whether B is true, leads in some cases to highly unintuitive conclusions. I suggest a solution to the puzzle according to which evidential screening off is rejected, but show that the price of this solution is either giving up on the mere idea of deferring to expert's opinion or giving up on Bayesian conditionalization.
|
Keywords | Bayesian conditionalisation screening off expert |
Categories | (categorize this paper) |
DOI | 10.1017/epi.2018.17 |
Options |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
Download options
References found in this work BETA
Two Mistakes About Credence and Chance.Ned Hall - 2004 - Australasian Journal of Philosophy 82 (1):93 – 111.
Epistemic Deference: The Case of Chance.James Joyce - 2007 - Proceedings of the Aristotelian Society 107 (2):187 - 206.
VIII—Epistemic Deference: The Case of Chance.James M. Joyce - 2007 - Proceedings of the Aristotelian Society 107 (1pt2):187-206.
Citations of this work BETA
The Principal Principle and subjective Bayesianism.Christian Wallmann & Jon Williamson - 2020 - European Journal for Philosophy of Science 10 (1):1-14.
The Principal Principle and subjective Bayesianism.Christian Wallmann & Jon Williamson - 2020 - European Journal for Philosophy of Science 10 (1):1-14.
Similar books and articles
The Role of Socially Embedded Concepts in Breast Cancer Screening: An Empirical Study with Australian Experts.Lisa M. Parker & Stacy M. Carter - 2016 - Public Health Ethics 9 (3):276-289.
Expanding Newborn Screening: Process, Policy, and Priorities.A. Moyer Virginia, Calonge Ned, M. Teutsch Steven & R. Botkin Jeffrey - 2008 - Hastings Center Report 38 (3):32-39.
Antenatal Screening and its Possible Meaning From Unborn Baby's Perspective.Sahin Aksoy - 2001 - BMC Medical Ethics 2 (1):1-11.
Pre-Employment Genetic Screening.[author unknown] - 2004 - Journal of Medical Ethics 30 (4):420-420.
Screening in the Dark: Ethical Considerations of Providing Screening Tests to Individuals When Evidence is Insufficient to Support Screening Populations.Ingrid Burger & Nancy Kass - 2009 - American Journal of Bioethics 9 (4):3-14.
Evidential Support, Transitivity, and Screening-Off.William Roche - 2015 - Review of Symbolic Logic 8 (4):785-806.
Objective Bayesianism, Bayesian Conditionalisation and Voluntarism.Jon Williamson - 2011 - Synthese 178 (1):67-85.
Inference to the Best Explanation in Uncertain Evidential Situations.Borut Trpin & Max Pellert - 2019 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 70 (4):977-1001.
Challenging the Rhetoric of Choice in Prenatal Screening.Victoria Seavilleklein - 2009 - Bioethics 23 (1):68-77.
The Evidential Relevance of Explanatoriness: A Reply to Roche and Sober.Marc Lange - 2017 - Analysis 77 (2):303-312.
Older Adults and Forgoing Cancer Screening.Alexia M. Torke, Peter H. Schwartz, Laura R. Holtz, Kianna Montz & Greg A. Sachs - 2013 - Journal of the American Medical Association Internal Medicine 173 (7):526-531.
How Would a Latent Period for Early Breast Cancer Affect the Benefit of Screening?Leslie E. Blumenson - 1987 - Theoretical Medicine and Bioethics 2 (2):169-182.
Analytics
Added to PP index
2018-05-23
Total views
59 ( #191,239 of 2,498,948 )
Recent downloads (6 months)
3 ( #210,368 of 2,498,948 )
2018-05-23
Total views
59 ( #191,239 of 2,498,948 )
Recent downloads (6 months)
3 ( #210,368 of 2,498,948 )
How can I increase my downloads?
Downloads