Towards the Inevitability of Non-Classical Probability

Review of Symbolic Logic 16 (4):1053-1079 (2023)
  Copy   BIBTEX

Abstract

This paper generalises an argument for probabilism due to Lindley [9]. I extend the argument to a number of non-classical logical settings whose truth-values, seen here as ideal aims for belief, are in the set $\{0,1\}$, and where logical consequence $\models $ is given the “no-drop” characterization. First I will show that, in each of these settings, an agent’s credence can only avoid accuracy-domination if its canonical transform is a (possibly non-classical) probability function. In other words, if an agent values accuracy as the fundamental epistemic virtue, it is a necessary requirement for rationality that her credence have some probabilistic structure. Then I show that for a certain class of reasonable measures of inaccuracy, having such a probabilistic structure is sufficient to avoid accuracy-domination in these non-classical settings.

Similar books and articles

Neutersophic Classical Events and its Probability.A. A. Salama, I. M. Hanafy & K. M. Mahfouz - 2013 - International Journal of Mathematics and Computer Applications Research (IJMCAR) 3 (1):171-178.
Gradational accuracy and nonclassical semantics.J. Robert G. Williams - 2012 - Review of Symbolic Logic 5 (4):513-537.
Some Model Theory For Probability Structures.George Georgescu - 2001 - Reports on Mathematical Logic:103-113.
A theory of probability.T. V. Reeves - 1988 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 39 (2):161-182.
Foundations of Probability.Rachael Briggs - 2015 - Journal of Philosophical Logic 44 (6):625-640.
Is quantum probability rational?Alasdair I. Houston & Karoline Wiesner - 2013 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 36 (3):291 - 292.
From Classical to Intuitionistic Probability.Brian Weatherson - 2003 - Notre Dame Journal of Formal Logic 44 (2):111-123.
Dutch Books and nonclassical probability spaces.Leszek Wroński & Michał Tomasz Godziszewski - 2017 - European Journal for Philosophy of Science 7 (2):267-284.

Analytics

Added to PP
2022-04-08

Downloads
245 (#79,759)

6 months
149 (#20,766)

Historical graph of downloads
How can I increase my downloads?

Author's Profile

Giacomo Molinari
University of Bristol

Citations of this work

No citations found.

Add more citations

References found in this work

A nonpragmatic vindication of probabilism.James M. Joyce - 1998 - Philosophy of Science 65 (4):575-603.
What conditional probability could not be.Alan Hájek - 2003 - Synthese 137 (3):273--323.
Epistemic Utility Theory and the Aim of Belief.Jennifer Rose Carr - 2017 - Philosophy and Phenomenological Research 95 (3):511-534.
Generalized probabilism: Dutch books and accuracy domi- nation.J. Robert G. Williams - 2012 - Journal of Philosophical Logic 41 (5):811-840.

View all 10 references / Add more references