Cambridge University Press (1999)
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Abstract |
This book defends the view that any adequate account of rational decision making must take a decision maker's beliefs about causal relations into account. The early chapters of the book introduce the non-specialist to the rudiments of expected utility theory. The major technical advance offered by the book is a 'representation theorem' that shows that both causal decision theory and its main rival, Richard Jeffrey's logic of decision, are both instances of a more general conditional decision theory. The book solves a long-standing problem for Jeffrey's theory by showing for the first time how to obtain a unique utility and probability representation for preferences and judgements of comparative likelihood. The book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true. The most complete and robust defence of causal decision theory available.
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Keywords | Decision Theory |
Categories | (categorize this paper) |
Reprint years | 1999, 2008, 2009 |
Buy this book | $103.70 new (11% off) $110.55 from Amazon (5% off) Amazon page |
ISBN(s) | 9780511402760 9780511498497 9780521063562 0521063566 0521641640 |
DOI | 10.1093/mind/112.447.545 |
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Beyond Uncertainty: Reasoning with Unknown Possibilities.Katie Steele & H. Orri Stefánsson - 2021 - Cambridge University Press.
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