Why Simpler Computer Simulation Models Can Be Epistemically Better for Informing Decisions

, , &
Philosophy of Science 88 (2):213-233 (2021)
  Copy   BIBTEX

Abstract

For computer simulation models to usefully inform climate risk management, uncertainties in model projections must be explored and characterized. Because doing so requires running the model many ti...

Categories

Keywords

Reprint years

DOI

10.1086/711501

Links

PhilArchive

External links

Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server

Through your library

My notes

Similar books and articles

Understanding pluralism in climate modeling.Wendy Parker - 2006 - Foundations of Science 11 (4):349-368.
Understanding scientists' computational modeling decisions about climate risk management strategies using values-informed mental models.Lauren Mayer, Kathleen Loa, Bryan Cwik, Nancy Tuana, Klaus Keller, Chad Gonnerman, Andrew Parker & Robert Lempert - 2017 - Global Environmental Change 42:107-116.
Computer Modeling in Climate Science: Experiment, Explanation, Pluralism.Wendy S. Parker - 2003 - Dissertation, University of Pittsburgh
Climate Simulations: Uncertain Projections for an Uncertain World.Rafaela Hillerbrand - 2014 - Journal for General Philosophy of Science / Zeitschrift für Allgemeine Wissenschaftstheorie 45 (1):17-32.
Is computer simulation changing the face of experimentation?Ronald N. Giere - 2009 - Philosophical Studies 143 (1):59 - 62.
The role of climate models in adaptation decision-making: the case of the UK climate projections 2009.Liam James Heaphy - 2015 - European Journal for Philosophy of Science 5 (2):233-257.
Climate Change Assessments: Confidence, Probability, and Decision.Richard Bradley, Casey Helgeson & Brian Hill - 2017 - Philosophy of Science 84 (3):500–522.
Chaos, plurality and model metrics in climate science.Gregor Betz - 2013 - In Ulrich V. Gähde & Stephan Hartmann (eds.), Models, Simulation, and the Reduction of Complexity. de Gruyter. pp. 255-264.
Uncertainty quantification using multiple models - Prospects and challenges.Reto Knutti, Christoph Baumberger & Gertrude Hirsch Hadorn - 2019 - In Claus Beisbart & Nicole J. Saam (eds.), Computer Simulation Validation: Fundamental Concepts, Methodological Frameworks, and Philosophical Perspectives. Springer Verlag. pp. 835-855.
Science in the age of computer simulation.Eric Winsberg - 2010 - Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Models, measurement and computer simulation: the changing face of experimentation.Margaret Morrison - 2009 - Philosophical Studies 143 (1):33-57.
Underdetermination, Model-ensembles and Surprises: On the Epistemology of Scenario-analysis in Climatology.Gregor Betz - 2009 - Journal for General Philosophy of Science / Zeitschrift für Allgemeine Wissenschaftstheorie 40 (1):3-21.
Heuristic value of simulation models in psychology.Alberto Greco - 1983 - Https://Web-Archive.Southampton.Ac.Uk/Cogprints.Org/285/1/Heurist.Htm.
Computer simulation: The cooperation between experimenting and modeling.Johannes Lenhard - 2007 - Philosophy of Science 74 (2):176-194.
Making climate decisions.Richard Bradley & Katie Steele - 2015 - Philosophy Compass 10 (11):799-810.

Analytics

Added to PP
2019-07-03

Downloads
1,080 (#11,318)

6 months
140 (#21,569)

Historical graph of downloads
How can I increase my downloads?

Author Profiles

Casey Helgeson
Pennsylvania State University
Nancy Tuana
Pennsylvania State University

Citations of this work

Climate Risk Management.Klaus Keller, Casey Helgeson & Vivek Srikrishnan - 2021 - Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences 49:95–116.

Add more citations

References found in this work

Science, Policy, and the Value-Free Ideal.Heather Douglas - 2009 - University of Pittsburgh Press.
Science in the age of computer simulation.Eric Winsberg - 2010 - Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Ockham’s Razors: A User’s Manual.Elliott Sober - 2015 - Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

View all 49 references / Add more references