Wittgenstein’s 1929–30 inquiries into probability

Philosophical Investigations 46 (1):50-75 (2022)
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In Wittgenstein’s manuscripts dating from 1929 and 1930, there are a number of entries on the notion of probability. In this paper, I explore Wittgenstein’s manuscripts between October 1929 and March 1930 and demonstrate, first, that Wittgenstein completely rejects the assumption that probability statements are based on an a priori principle. Second, I argue that the standard interpretation, which claims that Wittgenstein adopts an ‘epistemological view’ of probability, significantly understates the importance of Wittgenstein’s development of the notion of hypotheses as a philosophical term of art.



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Florian Franken Figueiredo
Universidade Nova de Lisboa

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References found in this work

Tractatus logico-philosophicus.Ludwig Wittgenstein - 1922 - Filosoficky Casopis 52:336-341.
I: A lecture on ethics.Ludwig Wittgenstein - 1965 - Philosophical Review 74 (1):3-12.
Some Remarks on Logical Form.Ludwig Wittgenstein - 1929 - Aristotelian Society Supplementary Volume 9 (1):162 - 171.
Probability in Wittgenstein's Tractatus.Clare Hay - 2022 - Philosophical Investigations 45 (2):130-145.

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