A Peaceful Clash: The U.S. And China: Which Model Holds Out Promise For The Future?

World Futures 68 (7):506 - 517 (2012)
  Copy   BIBTEX

Abstract

This article analyzes some prospects for the economic and political development of the United States and China. The first part of the article is devoted to the consideration of strengths and weaknesses of the U.S. model and of the Chinese one. The second part of the article considers the most probable scenarios of the future struggle for world leadership. The first scenario suggests that China will continue developing at a faster rate in the several coming decades and will be gradually catching up with the United States in terms of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) production. However, after several crises in 2008?2020 the United States will likely regain a number of advantages over China as a result of assimilation of the newest technologies. The second scenario suggests that the United States will come across a whole range of internal social and political problems related to internal political splits. In this case, the United States will have to share its global leadership with China. The article attempts to answer the following questions: What scenario is more probable? Will the old world order change? What are the main conclusions for the European Union and for Russia?

Links

PhilArchive



    Upload a copy of this work     Papers currently archived: 74,649

External links

Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server

Through your library

Similar books and articles

Hegemony in Two Paradigms.Ken Bausch - 2004 - World Futures 60 (1 & 2):39 – 51.
Research Integrity in China: Problems and Prospects.Weiqin Zeng & David Resnik - 2010 - Developing World Bioethics 10 (3):164-171.

Analytics

Added to PP
2012-09-15

Downloads
39 (#297,219)

6 months
2 (#278,853)

Historical graph of downloads
How can I increase my downloads?

Citations of this work

No citations found.

Add more citations

References found in this work

Secular Cycles.Peter Turchin & Sergey A. Nefedov - 2009 - Princeton University Press.

Add more references