Probabilistic Reasoning in Expert Systems Reconstructed in Probability Semantics

PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1986:409 - 421 (1986)
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Abstract

Los's probability semantics are used to identify the appropriate probability conditional for use in probabilistic explanations. This conditional is shown to have applications to probabilistic reasoning in expert systems. The reasoning scheme of the system MYCIN is shown to be probabilistically invalid; however, it is shown to be "close" to a probabilistically valid inference scheme.

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