Old Evidence and New Explanation III

Philosophy of Science 68 (3):S165 - S175 (2001)

Abstract

Garber (1983) and Jeffrey (1991, 1995) have both proposed solutions to the old evidence problem. Jeffrey's solution, based on a new probability revision method called reparation, has been generalized to the case of uncertain old evidence and probabilistic new explanation in Wagner 1997, 1999. The present paper reformulates some of the latter work, highlighting the central role of Bayes factors and their associated uniformity principle, and extending the analysis to the case in which an hypothesis bears on a countable family of evidentiary propositions. This extension shows that no Garber-type approach is capable of reproducing the results of generalized reparation

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References found in this work

Probability and the Weighing of Evidence.I. J. Good - 1950 - Philosophy 26 (97):163-164.
Testing Scientific Theories.John Earman - 1988 - Philosophy of Science 55 (2):292-303.
Old Evidence and New Explanation II.Carl G. Wagner - 1999 - Philosophy of Science 66 (2):283-288.
Old Evidence and New Explanation.Carl G. Wagner - 1997 - Philosophy of Science 64 (4):677-691.

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Citations of this work

Probability Kinematics and Probability Dynamics.Lydia Mcgrew - 2010 - Journal of Philosophical Research 35:89-105.
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