Degrees of Justification, Bayes’ Rule, and Rationality

In Frank Zenker (ed.), Bayesian Argumentation – The Practical Side of Probability. Springer (2013)
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Abstract

Based on the theory of dialectical structures, I review the concept of degree of justification of a partial position a proponent may hold in a controversial debate. The formal concept of degree of justification dovetails with our pre-theoretic intuitions about a thesis' strength of justification. The central claim I'm going to defend in this paper maintains that degrees of justification, as defined within the theory of dialectical structures, correlate with a proponent position's verisimilitude. I vindicate this thesis with the results of simulations of controversial argumentation.

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Gregor Betz
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology

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