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  1. Apocalypse Without God: Apocalyptic Thought, Ideal Politics, and the Limits of Utopian Hope.Ben Jones - 2022 - New York: Cambridge University Press.
    Apocalypse, it seems, is everywhere. Preachers with vast followings proclaim the world's end and apocalyptic fears grip even the non-religious amid climate change, pandemics, and threats of nuclear war. But as these ideas pervade popular discourse, grasping their logic remains elusive. Ben Jones argues that we can gain insight into apocalyptic thought through secular thinkers. He starts with a puzzle: Why would secular thinkers draw on Christian apocalyptic beliefs--often dismissed as bizarre--to interpret politics? The apocalyptic tradition proves appealing in part (...)
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  • Can science fiction engagement predict identification with all humanity? Testing a moderated mediation model.Fuzhong Wu, Mingjie Zhou & Zheng Zhang - 2022 - Frontiers in Psychology 13.
    Identification with all humanity is viewed as a critical construct that facilitates global solidarity. However, its origins have rarely been explored in previous literature, and no study has yet investigated the role of pop-culture in cultivating IWAH. To address this gap, this study initially focuses on science fiction, a specific pop-culture genre with worldwide audiences, and examines its effect on IWAH. It hypothesized a direct association between sci-fi engagement and IWAH from the narrative persuasion approach, and an indirect association via (...)
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  • Forecasting with jury-based probabilistic argumentation.Francesca Toni, Antonio Rago & Kristijonas Čyras - 2023 - Journal of Applied Non-Classical Logics 33 (3):224-243.
    1. The benefits resulting from a combination of quantitative (e.g. probabilistic) and qualitative (e.g. logic-based) reasoning are widely acknowledged (e.g. see Domingos et al., 2006; Poole, 2011)....
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  • The need for intellectual diversity in psychological science: Our own studies of actively open-minded thinking as a case study.Keith E. Stanovich & Maggie E. Toplak - 2019 - Cognition 187 (C):156-166.
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  • Forecasting tournaments, epistemic humility and attitude depolarization.Barbara Mellers, Philip Tetlock & Hal R. Arkes - 2019 - Cognition 188 (C):19-26.
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  • Cognitive Style and Frame Susceptibility in Decision-Making.David R. Mandel & Irina V. Kapler - 2018 - Frontiers in Psychology 9:375475.
    The susceptibility of decision-makers’ choices to variations in option framing has been attributed to individual differences in cognitive style. According to this view, individuals who are prone to a more deliberate, or less intuitive, thinking style are less susceptible to framing manipulations. Research findings on the topic, however, have tended to yield small effects, with several studies also being limited in inferential value by methodological drawbacks. We report two experiments that examined the value of several cognitive-style variables, including measures of (...)
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  • Dynamic overconfidence: a growth curve and cross lagged analysis of accuracy, confidence, overestimation and their relations.Edgar E. Kausel, Francisco Carrasco, Tomás Reyes, Alejandro Hirmas & Arturo Rodríguez - 2021 - Thinking and Reasoning 27 (3):417-444.
    1. Overconfidence is usually understood as being more confident than reality justifies (Harvey, 1997; Moore & Healy, 2008; Pompian, 2006), which leads individuals to overestimate their performance...
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  • Construction and Validation of an Anticipatory Thinking Assessment.Michael Geden, Andy Smith, James Campbell, Randall Spain, Adam Amos-Binks, Bradford Mott, Jing Feng & James Lester - 2019 - Frontiers in Psychology 10.
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  • Actively open-minded thinking in politics.Jonathan Baron - 2019 - Cognition 188 (C):8-18.
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