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  1. Bullshit blind spots: the roles of miscalibration and information processing in bullshit detection.Shane Littrell & Jonathan A. Fugelsang - 2024 - Thinking and Reasoning 30 (1):49-78.
    The growing prevalence of misleading information (i.e., bullshit) in society carries with it an increased need to understand the processes underlying many people’s susceptibility to falling for it. Here we report two studies (N = 412) examining the associations between one’s ability to detect pseudo-profound bullshit, confidence in one’s bullshit detection abilities, and the metacognitive experience of evaluating potentially misleading information. We find that people with the lowest (highest) bullshit detection performance overestimate (underestimate) their detection abilities and overplace (underplace) those (...)
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  • A Statistical Explanation of the Dunning–Kruger Effect.Jan R. Magnus & Anatoly A. Peresetsky - 2022 - Frontiers in Psychology 13.
    An explanation of the Dunning–Kruger effect is provided which does not require any psychological explanation, because it is derived as a statistical artifact. This is achieved by specifying a simple statistical model which explicitly takes the boundary constraints into account. The model fits the data almost perfectly.JEL ClassificationA22; C24; C91; D84; D91; I21.
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